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统计生命价值:成人与儿童对比

Value of statistical life: adults versus children.

作者信息

Leung Joanne, Guria Jagadish

机构信息

Ministry of Transport, Wellington, New Zealand.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2006 Nov;38(6):1208-17. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2006.05.009. Epub 2006 Jul 25.

Abstract

Most studies on the value of statistical life (VOSL) and values for prevention of injuries provide only the average values for the overall population. It is often argued that the values for children may be higher than that for adults because parents are usually more concerned about the mortality and morbidity risks of their children than for themselves. However, it is not an easy task to determine separate VOSLs for children and adults. Only a few empirical results are available and they do not show a definite pattern. Using the results of a value of safety survey carried out in New Zealand in 1997-1998, this paper investigates whether the willingness to pay based VOSL is higher or lower for children. Formal statistical tests were carried out to test the differences and also a regression analysis was carried out to estimate the VOSL separately for adults and children, particularly in households with children. The analysis shows that for the whole sample, the value is higher for children. However, when some outliers were removed the results indicate a higher value for adults than for children. A further trimming shows the value of children is slightly higher. Therefore, no definite conclusion could be drawn. Households without children have the highest VOSL.

摘要

大多数关于统计生命价值(VOSL)和预防伤害价值的研究仅提供了总体人群的平均值。人们通常认为,儿童的价值可能高于成年人,因为父母通常更关心孩子的死亡和发病风险,而不是自己的。然而,确定儿童和成年人各自的VOSL并非易事。仅有少数实证结果,且并未呈现出明确的模式。本文利用1997 - 1998年在新西兰进行的一项安全价值调查结果,研究基于支付意愿的VOSL对儿童而言是更高还是更低。进行了正式的统计检验以检验差异,并进行了回归分析以分别估计成年人和儿童的VOSL,特别是在有孩子的家庭中。分析表明,对于整个样本,儿童的价值更高。然而,当去除一些异常值后,结果显示成年人的价值高于儿童。进一步剔除后表明儿童的价值略高。因此,无法得出明确结论。没有孩子的家庭具有最高的VOSL。

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