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哪些社会人口学因素对高中生的吸烟行为有重要影响?分类与回归树方法在一项广泛的流行病学调查中的作用。

Which sociodemographic factors are important on smoking behaviour of high school students? The contribution of classification and regression tree methodology in a broad epidemiological survey.

作者信息

Ozge C, Toros F, Bayramkaya E, Camdeviren H, Sasmaz T

机构信息

Department of Chest Disease, Mersin University School of Medicine, Mersin, Turkey.

出版信息

Postgrad Med J. 2006 Aug;82(970):532-41. doi: 10.1136/pgmj.2005.040360.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the most important sociodemographic factors on smoking status of high school students using a broad randomised epidemiological survey.

METHODS

Using in-class, self administered questionnaire about their sociodemographic variables and smoking behaviour, a representative sample of total 3304 students of preparatory, 9th, 10th, and 11th grades, from 22 randomly selected schools of Mersin, were evaluated and discriminative factors have been determined using appropriate statistics. In addition to binary logistic regression analysis, the study evaluated combined effects of these factors using classification and regression tree methodology, as a new statistical method.

RESULTS

The data showed that 38% of the students reported lifetime smoking and 16.9% of them reported current smoking with a male predominancy and increasing prevalence by age. Second hand smoking was reported at a 74.3% frequency with father predominance (56.6%). The significantly important factors that affect current smoking in these age groups were increased by household size, late birth rank, certain school types, low academic performance, increased second hand smoking, and stress (especially reported as separation from a close friend or because of violence at home). Classification and regression tree methodology showed the importance of some neglected sociodemographic factors with a good classification capacity.

CONCLUSIONS

It was concluded that, as closely related with sociocultural factors, smoking was a common problem in this young population, generating important academic and social burden in youth life and with increasing data about this behaviour and using new statistical methods, effective coping strategies could be composed.

摘要

背景

本研究旨在通过广泛的随机流行病学调查,评估影响高中生吸烟状况的最重要社会人口学因素。

方法

通过课堂上自行填写的关于社会人口学变量和吸烟行为的问卷,对来自梅尔辛随机选取的22所学校的3304名预科、9年级、10年级和11年级学生的代表性样本进行评估,并使用适当的统计方法确定判别因素。除二元逻辑回归分析外,本研究还采用分类与回归树方法作为一种新的统计方法,评估这些因素的综合影响。

结果

数据显示,38%的学生报告有终生吸烟史,其中16.9%的学生报告目前正在吸烟,男性占主导,且吸烟率随年龄增长而上升。二手烟报告频率为74.3%,以父亲为主(56.6%)。影响这些年龄组当前吸烟的显著重要因素包括家庭规模增加、出生顺序靠后、某些学校类型、学业成绩低、二手烟增加和压力(尤其是因与亲密朋友分离或家庭暴力而报告的压力)。分类与回归树方法显示了一些被忽视的社会人口学因素的重要性,且具有良好的分类能力。

结论

得出的结论是,吸烟与社会文化因素密切相关,是这一年轻人群中的常见问题,在青少年生活中产生了重要的学业和社会负担,随着关于这种行为的数据不断增加以及采用新的数据统计方法,可以制定有效的应对策略。

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