Goerre Stefan, Egli Claude, Gerber Stefan, Defila Claudio, Minder Christoph, Richner Hans, Meier Bernhard
Cardiology, Swiss Cardiovascular Center, University Hospital, Bern, Switzerland.
Int J Cardiol. 2007 May 16;118(1):36-40. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2006.06.015. Epub 2006 Aug 9.
First investigations of the interactions between weather and the incidence of acute myocardial infarctions date back to 1938. The early observation of a higher incidence of myocardial infarctions in the cold season could be confirmed in very different geographical regions and cohorts. While the influence of seasonal variations on the incidence of myocardial infarctions has been extensively documented, the impact of individual meteorological parameters on the disease has so far not been investigated systematically. Hence the present study intended to assess the impact of the essential variables of weather and climate on the incidence of myocardial infarctions.
The daily incidence of myocardial infarctions was calculated from a national hospitalization survey. The hourly weather and climate data were provided by the database of the national weather forecast. The epidemiological and meteorological data were correlated by multivariate analysis based on a generalized linear model assuming a log-link-function and a Poisson distribution.
High ambient pressure, high pressure gradients, and heavy wind activity were associated with an increase in the incidence of the totally 6560 hospitalizations for myocardial infarction irrespective of the geographical region. Snow- and rainfall had inconsistent effects. Temperature, Foehn, and lightning showed no statistically significant impact.
Ambient pressure, pressure gradient, and wind activity had a statistical impact on the incidence of myocardial infarctions in Switzerland from 1990 to 1994. To establish a cause-and-effect relationship more data are needed on the interaction between the pathophysiological mechanisms of the acute coronary syndrome and weather and climate variables.
关于天气与急性心肌梗死发病率之间相互作用的首次研究可追溯到1938年。在非常不同的地理区域和队列中,均证实了在寒冷季节心肌梗死发病率较高这一早期观察结果。虽然季节变化对心肌梗死发病率的影响已有大量文献记载,但单个气象参数对该疾病的影响迄今尚未得到系统研究。因此,本研究旨在评估天气和气候的基本变量对心肌梗死发病率的影响。
心肌梗死的每日发病率通过一项全国住院调查计算得出。每小时的天气和气候数据由国家天气预报数据库提供。基于假设对数链接函数和泊松分布的广义线性模型,通过多变量分析将流行病学和气象数据进行关联。
无论地理区域如何,高环境压力、高压梯度和大风活动都与总计6560例心肌梗死住院病例的发病率增加有关。降雪和降雨的影响不一致。温度、焚风效应和闪电未显示出统计学上的显著影响。
1990年至1994年期间,环境压力、压力梯度和风活动对瑞士心肌梗死的发病率有统计学影响。为了建立因果关系,还需要更多关于急性冠状动脉综合征病理生理机制与天气和气候变量之间相互作用的数据。