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急性冠状动脉综合征每日住院人数的气候学变化

Climatological variations in daily hospital admissions for acute coronary syndromes.

作者信息

Panagiotakos Demosthenes B, Chrysohoou Christina, Pitsavos Christos, Nastos Panagiotis, Anadiotis Aggelos, Tentolouris Constantinos, Stefanadis Christodoulos, Toutouzas Pavlos, Paliatsos Athanasios

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, School of Medicine, University of Athens, 48-50 Chiou st, Glyfada, 165-61 Athens, Greece.

出版信息

Int J Cardiol. 2004 Apr;94(2-3):229-33. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2003.04.050.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

We examined the association between climatologic parameters and daily admissions for non-fatal acute coronary syndromes (ACS) to emergency units of hospitals in the greater Athens area, from January 2001 to August 2002.

METHODS

Daily mean, maximum and minimum temperatures, relative humidity, wind speed, barometric pressure and a thermo-hydrological index (T.H.I.) were measured at the meteorological station of the Laboratory of Climatology of the Geology Department of the University of Athens. In addition, the daily number of admissions for acute myocardial infarction or unstable angina in the five major general hospitals in the greater Athens area was recorded. Generalized additive models (GAM) were applied to regress-time-series of daily numbers of outpatients with acute cardiac events against climatological variations, after controlling for possible confounders and adjustment for over dispersion and serial correlation.

RESULTS

Five thousand four hundred fifty-eight Athenians with non-fatal acute cardiac events were admitted to the selected hospitals during the period of the study, 4093 (75%) males and 1365 (25%) females. There was a negative correlation between hospital admissions and mean daily temperature (MDT) with a 1 degrees C decrease in mean air temperature yielding a 5% increase in hospital admissions (P<0.05). This association was stronger in females and the elderly (P<0.01). Relative humidity was positively correlated with hospital admissions (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

Despite the relatively short study period (<2 years), these findings suggest a significant association between cold weather and increased coronary heart disease incidence, especially in the elderly and females.

摘要

目的

我们研究了2001年1月至2002年8月期间,雅典大区医院急诊科非致命性急性冠状动脉综合征(ACS)的每日入院人数与气候参数之间的关联。

方法

雅典大学地质系气候学实验室气象站测量每日平均、最高和最低气温、相对湿度、风速、气压和热水文指数(T.H.I.)。此外,记录雅典大区五家主要综合医院急性心肌梗死或不稳定型心绞痛的每日入院人数。在控制可能的混杂因素并对过度离散和序列相关性进行调整后,应用广义相加模型(GAM)对急性心脏事件门诊患者每日数量的时间序列与气候变异进行回归分析。

结果

在研究期间,5458名非致命性急性心脏事件的雅典人被收治到选定的医院,其中男性4093人(75%),女性1365人(25%)。医院入院人数与日平均气温(MDT)呈负相关,平均气温每降低1摄氏度,医院入院人数增加5%(P<0.05)。这种关联在女性和老年人中更强(P<0.01)。相对湿度与医院入院人数呈正相关(P<0.05)。

结论

尽管研究期相对较短(<2年),但这些发现表明寒冷天气与冠心病发病率增加之间存在显著关联,尤其是在老年人和女性中。

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