Falkstedt D, Hemmingsson T, Rasmussen F, Lundberg I
Department of Work and Health, National institute for Working Life, Stockholm, Sweden.
Int J Obes (Lond). 2007 May;31(5):777-83. doi: 10.1038/sj.ijo.0803480. Epub 2006 Oct 17.
Body mass index (BMI) in adolescence may be of particular importance as a predictor of future risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). Associations measured either in childhood or in middle age have appeared to be weaker or non-existent. We investigated the association between BMI measured in adolescence and CHD, and also stroke, among middle aged Swedish men and controlled for potential confounders not included in previous studies.
Data on BMI, smoking and blood pressure (diastolic and systolic) was collected from 49,321 Swedish males, born during 1949-1951, at conscription for military service in 1969/70. Census data on socioeconomic indicators in childhood and adulthood was linked to the cohort. The men were followed from 1991 through 2004 in national registers with regard to mortality and hospitalization from CHD and stroke.
A graded increase of CHD was seen in over six levels of BMI (BMI<18.5, hazard ratio (HR)=1.0, BMI=18.5-20.99 (reference category), BMI=21-22.99, HR=1.2; BMI=23-24.99, HR=1.5; BMI=25-29.99, HR=2.5; BMI > or =30, HR=4.3). A graded association between BMI and stroke was also found, although weaker. Adjustments for cardiovascular risk factors (smoking, diastolic and systolic blood pressure, and early cardiovascular mortality in parents) attenuated the relative risks to some extent, whereas adjustments for socioeconomic indicators in childhood and adulthood had minor effects.
The results strongly suggest that BMI in late adolescence is an important predictor of both CHD and stroke among men before age 55 years, independent of smoking, hypertension and early cardiovascular mortality in parents.
青少年时期的体重指数(BMI)作为未来冠心病(CHD)风险的预测指标可能尤为重要。在儿童期或中年期所测量的相关关联似乎较弱或不存在。我们研究了瑞典中年男性青少年时期测量的BMI与CHD以及中风之间的关联,并对先前研究未纳入的潜在混杂因素进行了控制。
收集了1949年至1951年出生、于1969/70年应征入伍的49321名瑞典男性的BMI、吸烟和血压(舒张压和收缩压)数据。将儿童期和成年期社会经济指标的人口普查数据与该队列相关联。从1991年至2004年,在国家登记处对这些男性进行随访,记录CHD和中风导致的死亡率和住院情况。
在BMI的六个以上水平中,CHD呈分级增加(BMI<18.5,风险比(HR)=1.0,BMI=18.5 - 20.99(参照类别),BMI=21 - 22.99,HR=1.2;BMI=23 - 24.99,HR=1.5;BMI=25 - 29.99,HR=2.5;BMI≥30,HR=4.3)。虽然BMI与中风之间的关联较弱,但也呈分级关联。对心血管危险因素(吸烟、舒张压和收缩压以及父母的早期心血管死亡率)进行调整后,相对风险在一定程度上有所降低,而对儿童期和成年期社会经济指标进行调整的影响较小。
结果强烈表明,青春期后期的BMI是55岁之前男性CHD和中风的重要预测指标,独立于吸烟、高血压和父母的早期心血管死亡率。