Webb Steven D, Keeling Matt J, Boots Mike
Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Western Bank, Sheffield, S10 2TN, UK.
Theor Popul Biol. 2007 Mar;71(2):251-66. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2006.07.010. Epub 2006 Sep 22.
Techniques for determining the long-term dynamics of host-parasite systems are well established for mixed populations. The field of spatial modelling in ecology is more recent but a number of key advances have been made. In this paper, we use state-of-the-art approximation techniques, supported by simulations, in order to investigate the role of recovery and immunity in spatially structured populations. Our approach is to use correlation models, namely pair-wise models, to capture the spatial relationships of contacts and interactions between individuals. We use the pair-wise framework to address a number of key ecological questions; including, the persistence of endemic limit cycles and regions of parasite-driven extinction--features which differentiate spatial from non-spatial models--and the effects on invasion fitness. We demonstrate a loss of limit cycle behaviour, in addition to an increase in the critical transmissibility and extinction thresholds, when recovery is included. This approach allows for a better analytical understanding of the dynamics of host-parasite interactions and demonstrates the importance of recovery and immunity in local interactions.
对于混合种群而言,确定宿主 - 寄生虫系统长期动态的技术已经成熟。生态学中的空间建模领域相对较新,但已经取得了一些关键进展。在本文中,我们使用最先进的近似技术,并辅以模拟,以研究恢复和免疫在空间结构种群中的作用。我们的方法是使用相关模型,即成对模型,来捕捉个体之间接触和相互作用的空间关系。我们使用成对框架来解决一些关键的生态学问题;包括地方病极限环的持续性和寄生虫驱动灭绝区域——这些特征将空间模型与非空间模型区分开来——以及对入侵适应性的影响。我们证明,当纳入恢复因素时,除了临界传播率和灭绝阈值增加外,极限环行为也会丧失。这种方法有助于更好地从分析角度理解宿主 - 寄生虫相互作用的动态,并证明了恢复和免疫在局部相互作用中的重要性。