Diaz James H
Schools of Public Health and Medicine, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center in New Orleans, LA 70112, USA.
J Travel Med. 2006 Nov-Dec;13(6):361-72. doi: 10.1111/j.1708-8305.2006.00072.x.
Whether the result of cyclical atmospheric changes, anthropogenic activities, or combinations of both, authorities now agree that the earth is warming from a variety of climatic effects, including the cascading effects of greenhouse gas emissions to support human activities. To date, most reports of the public health outcomes of global warming have been anecdotal and retrospective in design and have focused on heat stroke deaths following heat waves, drowning deaths in floods and tsunamis, and mosquito-borne infectious disease outbreaks following tropical storms and cyclones. Accurate predictions of the true public health outcomes of global climate change are confounded by several effect modifiers including human acclimatization and adaptation, the contributions of natural climatic changes, and many conflicting atmospheric models of climate change. Nevertheless, temporal relationships between environmental factors and human health outcomes have been identified and may be used as criteria to judge the causality of associations between the human health outcomes of climate changes and climate-driven natural disasters. Travel medicine physicians are obligated to educate their patients about the known public health outcomes of climate changes, about the disease and injury risk factors their patients may face from climate-spawned natural disasters, and about the best preventive measures to reduce infectious diseases and injuries following natural disasters throughout the world.
无论是周期性大气变化、人为活动,还是两者的结合导致的结果,如今各权威机构都认同,地球正因各种气候效应而变暖,这些效应包括支持人类活动的温室气体排放所产生的连锁反应。迄今为止,大多数关于全球变暖对公共卫生影响的报告在设计上都是轶事性和回顾性的,并且主要关注热浪后的中暑死亡、洪水和海啸中的溺水死亡,以及热带风暴和气旋后的蚊媒传染病爆发。全球气候变化对公共卫生的真实影响的准确预测受到多种影响因素的干扰,包括人类的适应和顺应、自然气候变化的影响,以及许多相互矛盾的气候变化大气模型。尽管如此,环境因素与人类健康结果之间的时间关系已经被确定,并且可以作为判断气候变化导致的人类健康结果与气候引发的自然灾害之间关联的因果关系的标准。旅行医学医生有责任告知患者气候变化已知的公共卫生影响、患者可能因气候引发的自然灾害而面临的疾病和伤害风险因素,以及在世界各地减少自然灾害后传染病和伤害的最佳预防措施。