Urbaniok Frank, Endrass Jérôme, Rossegger Astrid, Noll Thomas
Psychiatric-Psychological Service, Zurich Justice Department, Postfach, CH-8090 Zurich, Switzerland.
Int J Law Psychiatry. 2007 Mar-Apr;30(2):147-52. doi: 10.1016/j.ijlp.2006.04.001. Epub 2006 Nov 28.
Used to diagnose psychopathy, the Psychopathy Checklist: Screening Version (PCL:SV) is still rarely used in the German-speaking part of Europe. The aim of the present study was to conduct a first-time evaluation of the predictive validity of the PCL:SV for sexual and violent recidivism in the German language area. PCL:SV scores for 96 violent and sexual offenders in Switzerland were assessed. These assessments were based on data taken from the forensic psychiatric expert opinions. The scores were then compared to subsequent recidivism as shown in the official criminal records. ROC analysis indicated a cut-off score of 14 for maximized overall predictive accuracy. Consistent with various results from past research in North America and Europe, the PCL:SV yielded a satisfying predictive accuracy (ROC area=.69). This degree of accuracy demonstrates the PCL:SV's usefulness for risk assessment of sexual and violent delinquency in the Swiss cultural and German language area.
用于诊断心理变态的《心理变态检查表：筛查版》（PCL:SV）在欧洲德语区仍很少使用。本研究的目的是首次评估PCL:SV在德语区对性犯罪和暴力再犯的预测效度。对瑞士96名暴力和性犯罪者的PCL:SV得分进行了评估。这些评估基于法医精神病学专家意见中的数据。然后将这些得分与官方犯罪记录中显示的后续再犯情况进行比较。ROC分析表明，为使总体预测准确性最大化，临界值为14分。与过去在北美和欧洲的各种研究结果一致，PCL:SV产生了令人满意的预测准确性（ROC曲线下面积 = 0.69）。这种准确性程度证明了PCL:SV在瑞士文化和德语区对性犯罪和暴力犯罪风险评估的有用性。
