Adda Jérôme, Berlinski Samuel, Machin Stephen
Department of Economics, University College London, Gower Street, London, UK.
Int J Epidemiol. 2007 Feb;36(1):149-54. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyl258. Epub 2006 Dec 14.
BACKGROUND: We estimated the short-run economic impacts of the Scottish smoking ban on public houses. Previous findings on the effect of smoking bans on the hospitality sector have mainly focused on the United States. These studies have mostly found no negative economic effects of such legislation on the hospitality sector in the long run. However, differences in the social use of public houses in Great Britain in comparison with the United States may lead to different findings. METHODS: We used a quasi-experimental research design that compared the sales and number of customers in public houses located in Scotland before and after the Scottish smoking ban was introduced, relative to a control group of establishments across the English border where no ban was imposed. To perform this analysis, we collected data on 2724 pubs, 1590 in Scotland and 1134 in Northern England by phone interviews using quota sampling. RESULTS: We found that the Scottish ban led to a 10% decrease in sales [P = 0.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) -19% to -2%] and a 14% decrease in customers (P = 0.02, 95% CI -26% to -2%). CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that the Scottish smoking ban had a negative economic impact on public houses, at least in the short run, due in part to a drop in the number of customers.
背景:我们评估了苏格兰酒吧吸烟禁令的短期经济影响。此前关于吸烟禁令对酒店业影响的研究主要集中在美国。这些研究大多发现,从长远来看,此类立法对酒店业没有负面经济影响。然而,与美国相比,英国酒吧社会用途的差异可能会导致不同的研究结果。 方法:我们采用了一种准实验研究设计,将苏格兰实施吸烟禁令前后酒吧的销售额和顾客数量与英格兰边境未实施禁令的对照组场所进行比较。为进行此项分析,我们通过配额抽样电话访谈收集了2724家酒吧的数据,其中1590家在苏格兰,1134家在英格兰北部。 结果:我们发现,苏格兰的禁令导致销售额下降了10%[P = 0.02,95%置信区间(CI)为-19%至-2%],顾客数量下降了14%(P = 0.02,95%CI为-26%至-2%)。 结论:我们的研究表明,苏格兰吸烟禁令对酒吧产生了负面经济影响,至少在短期内如此,部分原因是顾客数量的减少。
Int J Epidemiol. 2007-2
J Public Health (Oxf). 2006-3