Schwermer H, Heim D
Swiss Federal Veterinary Office, Schwarzenburgstrasse 161, CH-3003 Bern, Switzerland.
Vet Rec. 2007 Jan 20;160(3):73-7. doi: 10.1136/vr.160.3.73.
In Switzerland there was a reduction in the number of cases of bovine spongiform encephalopathy, observed in the birth cohorts from 1995 to 1996, but no further reduction in the following birth cohorts up to 1998. From the records of 34 cases born after April 30, 1996 (BAB96) and 174 cases born before April 30, 1996 and after December 1990 (BAB90), observed up to April 30, 2004, the risk factors at the farm level, possible routes of exposure and the geographical distribution of the cases were analysed to try to explain the observations. No evidence was found for a rate of exposure other than feed. There was some evidence that the risk factors at farm level were different between the BAB90 and BAB96 cases. A large proportion of the BAB96 cases was born in cantons that had reported only a few BAB90 cases, but a small cluster of the BAB96 cases was found in a region where there had been a cluster of BAB90 cases. The spatial distribution of these cases indicated that the risk of exposure to infection had been more randomly distributed than during the period up to April 1996. Farms with mixed livestock had a higher risk of having a case born after the ban on the feeding of specified risk material in 1996. In a regression model, a trend towards an association between cases of BSE and presence of small ruminants on the farm was observed for the BAB96 cases, and the presence of pigs and the pig:cattle ratio were significant for the BAB90 cases.
在瑞士,观察到1995年至1996年出生队列中牛海绵状脑病病例数有所减少,但在随后直至1998年的出生队列中未进一步减少。从1996年4月30日之后出生的34例病例(BAB96)以及1996年4月30日之前且1990年12月之后出生的174例病例(BAB90)的记录中(这些病例观察至2004年4月30日),分析了农场层面的风险因素、可能的接触途径以及病例的地理分布,试图解释这些观察结果。未发现除饲料之外的其他接触率证据。有一些证据表明,BAB90和BAB96病例在农场层面的风险因素有所不同。很大一部分BAB96病例出生在仅报告了少数BAB90病例的州,但在一个曾有BAB90病例聚集的地区发现了一小群BAB96病例。这些病例的空间分布表明,与1996年4月之前的时期相比,接触感染的风险分布更为随机。1996年禁止饲喂特定风险物质之后,混养牲畜的农场出现病例的风险更高。在一个回归模型中,观察到BAB96病例中,疯牛病病例与农场中小反刍动物的存在之间存在关联趋势,而对于BAB90病例,猪的存在以及猪与牛的比例具有显著意义。