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德国侵袭性脑膜炎球菌病的时空分析

Spatiotemporal analysis of invasive meningococcal disease, Germany.

作者信息

Elias Johannes, Harmsen Dag, Claus Heike, Hellenbrand Wiebke, Frosch Matthias, Vogel Ulrich

机构信息

University of Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany.

出版信息

Emerg Infect Dis. 2006 Nov;12(11):1689-95. doi: 10.3201/eid1211.060682.

Abstract

Meningococci can cause clusters of disease. Specimens from 1,616 patients in Germany obtained over 42 months were typed by serogrouping and sequence typing of PorA and FetA and yielded a highly diverse dataset (Simpson's index 0.963). A retrospective spatiotemporal scan statistic (SaTScan) was applied in an automated fashion to identify clusters for each finetype defined by serogroup variable region (VR) VR1 and VR2 of the PorA and VR of the FetA. A total of 26 significant clusters (p< or =0.05) were detected. On average, a cluster consisted of 2.6 patients. The median population in the geographic area of a cluster was 475,011, the median cluster duration was 4.0 days, and the proportion of cases in spatiotemporal clusters was 4.2%. The study exemplifies how the combination of molecular finetyping and spatiotemporal analysis can be used to assess an infectious disease in a large European country.

摘要

脑膜炎球菌可导致疾病聚集。在42个月期间从德国1616名患者身上采集的样本,通过对PorA和FetA进行血清群分型及序列分型,得到了一个高度多样化的数据集(辛普森指数为0.963)。采用回顾性时空扫描统计法(SaTScan)以自动化方式,针对由PorA的血清群可变区(VR)VR1和VR2以及FetA的VR所定义的每种精细型别识别聚集情况。总共检测到26个显著聚集(p≤0.05)。平均而言,一个聚集包含2.6名患者。聚集所在地理区域的人口中位数为475,011,聚集持续时间中位数为4.0天,时空聚集中的病例比例为4.2%。该研究例证了分子精细分型与时空分析相结合如何可用于评估一个欧洲大国的传染病情况。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4296/3372358/0cb84f4ffd95/06-0682-F1.jpg

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