Lash Jonathan, Wellington Fred
World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USA.
Harv Bus Rev. 2007 Mar;85(3):94-102, 143.
Whether you're in a traditional smokestack industry or a "clean" business like investment banking, your company will increasingly feel the effects of climate change. Even people skeptical about global warming's dangers are recognizing that, simply because so many others are concerned, the phenomenon has wide-ranging implications. Investors already are discounting share prices of companies poorly positioned to compete in a warming world. Many businesses face higher raw material and energy costs as more and more governments enact policies placing a cost on emissions. Consumers are taking into account a company's environmental record when making purchasing decisions. There's also a burgeoning market in greenhouse gas emission allowances (the carbon market), with annual trading in these assets valued at tens of billions of dollars. Companies that manage and mitigate their exposure to the risks associated with climate change while seeking new opportunities for profit will generate a competitive advantage over rivals in a carbon-constrained future. This article offers a systematic approach to mapping and responding to climate change risks. According to Jonathan Lash and Fred Wellington of the World Resources Institute, an environmental think tank, the risks can be divided into six categories: regulatory (policies such as new emissions standards), products and technology (the development and marketing of climate-friendly products and services), litigation (lawsuits alleging environmental harm), reputational (how a company's environmental policies affect its brand), supply chain (potentially higher raw material and energy costs), and physical (such as an increase in the incidence of hurricanes). The authors propose a four-step process for responding to climate change risk: Quantify your company's carbon footprint; identify the risks and opportunities you face; adapt your business in response; and do it better than your competitors.
无论你所在的是传统烟囱工业,还是像投资银行这样的“清洁”行业,你的公司都会越来越感受到气候变化的影响。即使是那些对全球变暖危险持怀疑态度的人也认识到,仅仅因为有这么多人关注,这一现象就具有广泛的影响。投资者已经在压低那些在气候变暖的世界中竞争力不足的公司的股价。随着越来越多的政府出台对排放进行收费的政策,许多企业面临着更高的原材料和能源成本。消费者在做出购买决策时会考虑公司的环境记录。温室气体排放配额(碳市场)也在蓬勃发展,这些资产的年交易额高达数百亿美元。在碳约束的未来,那些在管理和降低气候变化相关风险的同时寻求新利润机会的公司,将比竞争对手产生竞争优势。本文提供了一种系统的方法来梳理和应对气候变化风险。据环境智库世界资源研究所的乔纳森·拉什和弗雷德·韦林顿称,这些风险可分为六类:监管(如新排放标准等政策)、产品与技术(气候友好型产品和服务的开发与营销)、诉讼(指控环境危害的诉讼)、声誉(公司的环境政策如何影响其品牌)、供应链(潜在的更高原材料和能源成本)以及实体(如飓风发生率增加)。作者提出了一个应对气候变化风险的四步流程:量化公司的碳足迹;识别你所面临的风险和机遇;相应地调整业务;并且比你的竞争对手做得更好。