Mehta Rajendra H, Califf Robert M, Yang Qinghong, Pieper Karen S, White Harvey D, Ohman E Magnus, Harrington Robert A, Granger Christopher B
Duke University Medical Center, Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Am J Cardiol. 2007 Mar 15;99(6):793-6. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2006.10.035. Epub 2007 Jan 18.
Older age is associated with worse outcomes in patients with cardiogenic shock complicating ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). However, significant heterogeneity exists in different age groups with respect to outcomes. Identification of factors that modulate age-related risk of death in patients with cardiogenic shock may help clinical decision making and facilitate patient counseling. Accordingly, we evaluated 761 patients with STEMI who presented with cardiogenic shock and received fibrinolysis. We categorized patients into 3 age groups (<60 years, n = 224; 60 to 75 years, n = 360; and > or = 75 years, n = 177). Death at 30 days occurred in 118 patients <60 years of age (53%), 214 patients 60 to 75 years of age (59%), and 127 patients > or = 75 years of age (72%) with cardiogenic shock. Factors associated with death (per 10-U change) on multivariable analysis were older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23 to 1.66), higher heart rate (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.35), and lower systolic blood pressure (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.41, c index 0.79). Important interactions were found with age, heart rate, and systolic blood pressure, suggesting that, although age was a strong independent predictor of death in patients with a heart rate < or = 100 beats/min, it was less strongly related to death in patients with a heart rate >100 beats/min in whom prognosis was uniformly poor. Further, elderly patients with a systolic blood pressure >80 mm Hg had substantial chance of recovery. In contrast, those with a systolic blood pressure < or = 80 mm Hg and heart rate >100 beats/min had 30-day death rates >90% even if they were young. In conclusion, our data suggest that, although elderly patients with cardiogenic shock have poor prognosis, presenting heart rate and systolic blood pressure provide important information to differentiate who may have greater chance of recovery. This information may help physicians in deciding treatment options for patients with cardiogenic shock and counseling them about their risks.
年龄较大与心源性休克并发ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)患者的预后较差相关。然而,不同年龄组在预后方面存在显著异质性。识别调节心源性休克患者年龄相关死亡风险的因素可能有助于临床决策并便于患者咨询。因此,我们评估了761例出现心源性休克并接受溶栓治疗的STEMI患者。我们将患者分为3个年龄组(<60岁,n = 224;60至75岁,n = 360;≥75岁,n = 177)。<60岁的心源性休克患者中,118例(53%)在30天内死亡;60至75岁的患者中,214例(59%)死亡;≥75岁的患者中,127例(72%)死亡。多变量分析中与死亡相关的因素(每10单位变化)为年龄较大(比值比[OR] 1.43,95%置信区间[CI] 1.23至1.66)、心率较高(OR 1.27,95% CI 1.19至1.35)和收缩压较低(OR 1.32,95% CI 1.23至1.41,c指数0.79)。发现年龄、心率和收缩压之间存在重要的相互作用,这表明,虽然年龄是心率≤100次/分钟的患者死亡的强独立预测因素,但在心率>100次/分钟的患者中,年龄与死亡的相关性较弱,这些患者的预后普遍较差。此外,收缩压>80 mmHg的老年患者有很大的恢复机会。相比之下,收缩压≤80 mmHg且心率>100次/分钟的患者,即使年轻,30天死亡率也>90%。总之,我们的数据表明,虽然心源性休克的老年患者预后较差,但就诊时的心率和收缩压提供了重要信息,可用于区分哪些患者恢复机会更大。这些信息可能有助于医生为心源性休克患者决定治疗方案并告知他们相关风险。