Kouri M, Pyrhönen S, Kuusela P
Department of Radiotherapy and Oncology, Helsinki University Central Hospital, Finland.
J Surg Oncol. 1992 Feb;49(2):78-85. doi: 10.1002/jso.2930490204.
Tumor markers such as carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and CA19-9 were analyzed as response indicators and prognostic factors in advanced colorectal carcinoma. Eighty-five patients participated in a phase II chemotherapy study from October 1984 to July 1990. A three-drug schedule was administered including low dose epirubicin and sequential methotrexate 5-fluorouracil, followed by leucovorin rescue. Serum specimens for CEA and CA19-9 were obtained prior to the initiation of chemotherapy, and subsequently at 4-6 weeks' intervals. In univariate analysis Karnofsky, the site of the primary tumor, the extent of metastases, the presence of abdominal or liver metastases, serum CEA (cut-off of 20 micrograms/l), and CA19-9 levels correlated with survival. In stepwise multivariate analysis an elevated CA19-9 level, a poor Karnofsky, and the presence of liver metastases were independent adverse prognostic factors. Tumors originating from the left colon had a better prognosis than the others. This was related to a higher response rate in this patient group. Serum CA19-9 level was the most significant prognostic factor whether it was entered as a continuous or as a dichotomized variable into the model. The median survival of patients with a normal CA19-9 level was 30.0 months (lower 95% confidence interval: 16.4 months; upper limit was not calculable), and with an elevated CA19-9 value 10.3 months (8.0-12.6 months, 95% confidence interval). Five of 85 patients had a complete response and 20 a partial response, the overall response rate being 29%. When compared with tumor shrinkage, "CEA response" and "CA19-9 response" had a sensitivity of 84% and 88% and specificity of 77% and 67%, respectively. In conclusion, serum CEA value seems to be the best tumor marker for response prediction, while CA19-9 level is one of the best available prognostic indicators in advanced colorectal carcinoma.
癌胚抗原(CEA)和CA19-9等肿瘤标志物被作为晚期结直肠癌的反应指标和预后因素进行分析。1984年10月至1990年7月,85例患者参与了一项II期化疗研究。采用三联药物方案,包括低剂量表柔比星以及序贯甲氨蝶呤、5-氟尿嘧啶,随后进行亚叶酸钙解救。在化疗开始前获取CEA和CA19-9的血清标本,随后每隔4 - 6周采集一次。单因素分析显示,卡诺夫斯基评分、原发肿瘤部位、转移范围、腹部或肝转移情况、血清CEA(临界值为20微克/升)以及CA19-9水平与生存相关。逐步多因素分析显示,CA19-9水平升高、卡诺夫斯基评分低以及存在肝转移是独立的不良预后因素。起源于左半结肠的肿瘤预后优于其他肿瘤。这与该患者组较高的缓解率有关。血清CA19-9水平无论是作为连续变量还是二分变量纳入模型,都是最显著的预后因素。CA19-9水平正常的患者中位生存期为30.0个月(95%置信区间下限:16.4个月;上限无法计算),CA19-9值升高的患者为10.3个月(8.0 - 12.6个月,95%置信区间)。85例患者中有5例完全缓解,20例部分缓解,总缓解率为29%。与肿瘤缩小相比,“CEA反应”和“CA19-9反应”的敏感性分别为84%和88%,特异性分别为77%和67%。总之,血清CEA值似乎是预测反应的最佳肿瘤标志物,而CA19-9水平是晚期结直肠癌最佳的可用预后指标之一。