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美国50个州的家庭枪支拥有情况与自杀率

Household firearm ownership and rates of suicide across the 50 United States.

作者信息

Miller Matthew, Lippmann Steven J, Azrael Deborah, Hemenway David

机构信息

Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.

出版信息

J Trauma. 2007 Apr;62(4):1029-34; discussion 1034-5. doi: 10.1097/01.ta.0000198214.24056.40.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The current investigation explores the association between rates of household firearm ownership and suicide across the 50 states. Prior ecologic research on the relationship between firearm prevalence and suicide has been criticized for using problematic proxy-based, rather than survey-based, estimates of firearm prevalence and for failing to control for potential psychological risk factors for suicide. We address these two criticisms by using recently available state-level survey-based estimates of household firearm ownership, serious mental illness, and alcohol/illicit substance use and dependence.

METHODS

Negative binomial regression was used to assess the relationship between household firearm ownership rates and rates of firearm, nonfirearm, and overall suicide for both sexes and for four age groups. Analyses controlled for rates of poverty, urbanization, unemployment, mental illness, and drug and alcohol dependence and abuse.

RESULTS

US residents of all ages and both sexes are more likely to die from suicide when they live in areas where more households contain firearms. A positive and significant association exists between levels of household firearm ownership and rates of firearm and overall suicide; rates of nonfirearm suicide were not associated with levels of household firearm ownership.

CONCLUSION

Household firearm ownership levels are strongly associated with higher rates of suicide, consistent with the hypothesis that the availability of lethal means increases the rate of completed suicide.

摘要

背景

本研究探讨了美国50个州家庭枪支拥有率与自杀率之间的关联。先前关于枪支流行率与自杀之间关系的生态学研究受到批评,原因在于其使用基于问题代理而非基于调查的枪支流行率估计方法,并且未能控制自杀的潜在心理风险因素。我们通过使用最近可得的基于州级调查的家庭枪支拥有率、严重精神疾病以及酒精/非法药物使用与依赖的估计数据,来应对这两点批评。

方法

采用负二项回归来评估家庭枪支拥有率与枪支自杀率、非枪支自杀率以及总体自杀率之间的关系,涵盖了男性和女性以及四个年龄组。分析中控制了贫困率、城市化率、失业率、精神疾病以及药物和酒精依赖与滥用率。

结果

所有年龄段的美国居民,无论男女,当他们生活在更多家庭拥有枪支的地区时,死于自杀的可能性更高。家庭枪支拥有水平与枪支自杀率和总体自杀率之间存在显著的正相关;非枪支自杀率与家庭枪支拥有水平无关。

结论

家庭枪支拥有水平与更高的自杀率密切相关,这与致命手段的可得性会增加自杀完成率的假设一致。

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