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美国的枪支与自杀:风险是否独立于潜在的自杀行为?

Firearms and suicide in the United States: is risk independent of underlying suicidal behavior?

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2013 Sep 15;178(6):946-55. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwt197. Epub 2013 Aug 23.

Abstract

On an average day in the United States, more than 100 Americans die by suicide; half of these suicides involve the use of firearms. In this ecological study, we used linear regression techniques and recently available state-level measures of suicide attempt rates to assess whether, and if so, to what extent, the well-established relationship between household firearm ownership rates and suicide mortality persists after accounting for rates of underlying suicidal behavior. After controlling for state-level suicide attempt rates (2008-2009), higher rates of firearm ownership (assessed in 2004) were strongly associated with higher rates of overall suicide and firearm suicide, but not with nonfirearm suicide (2008-2009). Furthermore, suicide attempt rates were not significantly related to gun ownership levels. These findings suggest that firearm ownership rates, independent of underlying rates of suicidal behavior, largely determine variations in suicide mortality across the 50 states. Our results support the hypothesis that firearms in the home impose suicide risk above and beyond the baseline risk and help explain why, year after year, several thousand more Americans die by suicide in states with higher than average household firearm ownership compared with states with lower than average firearm ownership.

摘要

在美国,平均每天有超过 100 人自杀身亡;其中一半的自杀事件涉及枪支。在这项生态学研究中,我们使用线性回归技术和最近获得的各州自杀未遂率数据,评估在考虑到潜在自杀行为率后,家庭枪支拥有率与自杀死亡率之间的既定关系是否存在,如果存在,其程度如何。在控制了各州自杀未遂率(2008-2009 年)后,更高的枪支拥有率(2004 年评估)与更高的总体自杀率和枪支自杀率密切相关,但与非枪支自杀率(2008-2009 年)无关。此外,自杀未遂率与枪支拥有水平没有显著关系。这些发现表明,枪支拥有率独立于潜在的自杀行为率,在很大程度上决定了全美 50 个州之间的自杀死亡率差异。我们的研究结果支持了这样一种假设,即家庭中的枪支会增加自杀风险,超出了基线风险,这也解释了为什么年复一年,在枪支拥有率高于平均水平的州,与枪支拥有率低于平均水平的州相比,有几千名美国人因自杀而死亡。

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