D'Souza Rennie M, Bambrick Hilary J, Kjellstrom Tord E, Kelsall Liza M, Guest Charles S, Hanigan Ivan
National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia.
J Paediatr Child Health. 2007 May;43(5):359-65. doi: 10.1111/j.1440-1754.2007.01080.x.
To examine seasonal variation in hospital use for five paediatric conditions of the Australian Capital Territory residents.
Hospital admissions (1993-2004) and emergency room (ER) presentations (1999-2004) for asthma, croup, bronchiolitis, other respiratory conditions and diarrhoea of children aged <5 years were compared by month and season.
The five conditions comprised 14% of admissions and 24% of ER presentations of children aged <5 years. Bronchiolitis (both admissions and ER presentations) were the highest in the 0-1 year age group (>80%) and the other four conditions peaked at 1-2 years. Children aged 0-2 years contributed 66% of diarrhoea, 62% of croup and 44% of other respiratory admissions whereas ER presentations were higher for other respiratory conditions (57%) and lower for croup (47%). Boys showed higher rates of admissions and ER presentations for all conditions except diarrhoea. Strong seasonal associations were apparent. Incident rate ratios of admissions were significantly higher in autumn compared with summer for asthma and croup whereas bronchiolitis and other respiratory conditions admissions were the highest in winter. Diarrhoea admissions were the highest in spring. ER presentations of the five conditions also showed similar associations with season.
Hospital admissions and ER presentations of these five conditions showed strong seasonal patterns, knowledge of which could contribute to improved resource planning (staffing) to meet expected increases in demand for services and scheduling of elective admissions. These findings could be extended to develop a model for forecasting hospital use and to explore the causes of these diseases to ameliorate seasonal effects.
研究澳大利亚首都地区居民五种儿科疾病的医院就诊情况的季节性变化。
对1993 - 2004年5岁以下儿童哮喘、哮吼、细支气管炎、其他呼吸道疾病和腹泻的住院情况(1993 - 2004年)以及急诊室就诊情况(1999 - 2004年)按月份和季节进行比较。
这五种疾病占5岁以下儿童住院病例的14%和急诊室就诊病例的24%。细支气管炎(住院和急诊室就诊)在0 - 1岁年龄组中发病率最高(>80%),其他四种疾病在1 - 2岁时达到峰值。0 - 2岁儿童占腹泻住院病例的66%、哮吼住院病例的62%和其他呼吸道疾病住院病例的44%,而急诊室就诊中其他呼吸道疾病的比例更高(57%),哮吼的比例更低(47%)。除腹泻外,男孩在所有疾病的住院和急诊室就诊率均较高。明显存在强烈的季节性关联。哮喘和哮吼秋季的住院发病率比显著高于夏季,而细支气管炎和其他呼吸道疾病的住院率在冬季最高。腹泻住院率在春季最高。这五种疾病的急诊室就诊情况也显示出与季节有类似的关联。
这五种疾病的住院和急诊室就诊情况呈现出强烈的季节性模式,了解这些模式有助于改进资源规划(人员配置),以满足预期的服务需求增长和择期住院安排。这些发现可扩展用于开发预测医院就诊情况的模型,并探索这些疾病的病因以减轻季节性影响。