Cojocaru Cristian, Mihăescu Traian
Universitatea de Medicina "Gr.T. Popa" Iaşi, Spitalul Clinic de Pneumoftiziologie.
Pneumologia. 2006 Oct-Dec;55(4):167-70.
Capture-recapture is a statistical method for determining, by means of a probabilistic calculation, the number of individuals with a certain characteristic in a population. Underestimation of the incidence of different diseases is currently an important epidemiological issue. In these circumstances, any disease monitoring system should be formally evaluated under the aspect of accuracy. Capture-recapture can match such a request. It is important to estimate the degree of incidence underestimation and the proportion of non-registered cases. This method can be applied virtually in any situation where there are two incomplete data sources. In epidemiology, the sources can vary: hospital charts, laboratory results, medical prescriptions, etc. Even with incomplete lists, the number of non-registered cases can be estimated by combining the data.
捕获-再捕获是一种统计方法,通过概率计算来确定人群中具有某种特征的个体数量。目前,不同疾病发病率的低估是一个重要的流行病学问题。在这种情况下,任何疾病监测系统都应在准确性方面进行正式评估。捕获-再捕获可以满足这样的要求。估计发病率低估的程度和未登记病例的比例很重要。这种方法几乎可以应用于任何有两个不完整数据源的情况。在流行病学中,数据源可以多种多样:医院病历、实验室结果、医疗处方等。即使列表不完整,通过合并数据也可以估计未登记病例的数量。