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罗马尼亚雅西县成人肺结核报告的完整性:捕获-再捕获分析

Completeness of notification of adult tuberculosis in Iasi County, Romania: a capture-recapture analysis.

作者信息

Cojocaru C, van Hest N A, Mihaescu T, Davies P D

机构信息

Pulmonary Disease Division, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Gr T Popa, Iasi, Romania.

出版信息

Int J Tuberc Lung Dis. 2009 Sep;13(9):1094-9.

Abstract

SETTING

Iasi County, Romania.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the completeness of notification of adult tuberculosis (TB; age > or=15 years) in 2004.

DESIGN

Record-linkage and capture-recapture analysis of three TB-related registers: a notification register, a laboratory register and a prescriptions register.

RESULTS

After record linkage, the observed completeness of the notification register was 86.4%, giving an observed adult TB incidence rate of 202 per 100,000 population. After capture-recapture analysis, internal validity analysis and application of alternative truncated population estimation models, the estimated completeness of the notification register was 82-85%, giving an estimated adult TB incidence rate of between 204 and 212/100,000.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that the severity of the TB problem in Iasi County is under-reported. The results are in agreement with a previous estimate of the undernotification of TB in Romania by the the World Health Organization.

摘要

地点

罗马尼亚雅西县。

目的

评估2004年成人肺结核(TB;年龄≥15岁)报告的完整性。

设计

对三个与结核病相关的登记册进行记录链接和捕获再捕获分析:一个报告登记册、一个实验室登记册和一个处方登记册。

结果

记录链接后,报告登记册的观察到的完整性为86.4%,成人结核病发病率为每10万人202例。经过捕获再捕获分析、内部有效性分析和应用替代截断总体估计模型后,报告登记册的估计完整性为82 - 85%,成人结核病估计发病率为每10万人204至212例。

结论

本研究表明,雅西县结核病问题的严重程度报告不足。结果与世界卫生组织先前对罗马尼亚结核病报告不足的估计一致。

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