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1950 - 2000年科罗拉多州蒙特罗斯县铀和钒矿开采及选矿作业附近人群的癌症和非癌症死亡率

Cancer and noncancer mortality in populations living near uranium and vanadium mining and milling operations in Montrose County, Colorado, 1950-2000.

作者信息

Boice John D, Mumma Michael T, Blot William J

机构信息

International Epidemiology Institute, Rockville, MD 20850, USA.

出版信息

Radiat Res. 2007 Jun;167(6):711-26. doi: 10.1667/RR0839.1.

Abstract

Mining and milling of uranium in Montrose County on the Western Slope of Colorado began in the early 1900s and continued until the early 1980s. To evaluate the possible impact of these activities on the health of communities living on the Colorado Plateau, mortality rates between 1950 and 2000 among Montrose County residents were compared to rates among residents in five similar counties in Colorado. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were computed as the ratio of observed numbers of deaths in Montrose County to the expected numbers of deaths based on mortality rates in the general populations of Colorado and the United States. Relative risks (RRs) were computed as the ratio of the SMRs for Montrose County to the SMRs for the five comparison counties. Between 1950 and 2000, a total of 1,877 cancer deaths occurred in the population residing in Montrose County, compared with 1,903 expected based on general population rates for Colorado (SMR(CO) 0.99). There were 11,837 cancer deaths in the five comparison counties during the same 51-year period compared with 12,135 expected (SMR(CO) 0.98). There was no difference between the total cancer mortality rates in Montrose County and those in the comparison counties (RR = 1.01; 95% CI 0.96-1.06). Except for lung cancer among males (RR = 1.19; 95% CI 1.06-1.33), no statistically significant excesses were seen for any causes of death of a priori interest: cancers of the breast, kidney, liver, bone, or childhood cancer, leukemia, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, renal disease or nonmalignant respiratory disease. Lung cancer among females was decreased (RR = 0.83; 95% CI 0.67-1.02). The absence of elevated mortality rates of cancer in Montrose County over a period of 51 years suggests that the historical milling and mining operations did not adversely affect the health of Montrose County residents. Although descriptive correlation analyses such as this preclude definitive causal inferences, the increased lung cancer mortality seen among males but not females is most likely due to prior occupational exposure to radon and cigarette smoking among underground miners residing in Montrose County, consistent with previous cohort studies of Colorado miners and of residents of the town of Uravan in Montrose County.

摘要

科罗拉多州西坡蒙特罗斯县的铀矿开采和选矿始于20世纪初,一直持续到20世纪80年代初。为了评估这些活动对生活在科罗拉多高原社区居民健康的可能影响,将1950年至2000年间蒙特罗斯县居民的死亡率与科罗拉多州五个类似县居民的死亡率进行了比较。标准化死亡率(SMR)的计算方法是,蒙特罗斯县观察到的死亡人数与根据科罗拉多州和美国总人口死亡率预期的死亡人数之比。相对风险(RR)的计算方法是,蒙特罗斯县的SMR与五个对照县的SMR之比。1950年至2000年间,蒙特罗斯县居民中共有1877人死于癌症,而根据科罗拉多州总人口死亡率预期为1903人(SMR(CO) 0.99)。在同一51年期间,五个对照县有11837人死于癌症,而预期为12135人(SMR(CO) 0.98)。蒙特罗斯县的总癌症死亡率与对照县的总癌症死亡率没有差异(RR = 1.01;95% CI 0.96 - 1.06)。除男性肺癌外(RR = 1.19;95% CI 1.06 - 1.33),对于任何预先关注的死因,均未发现统计学上显著的超额死亡:乳腺癌、肾癌、肝癌、骨癌或儿童癌症、白血病、非霍奇金淋巴瘤、肾病或非恶性呼吸道疾病。女性肺癌死亡率有所下降(RR = 0.83;95% CI 0.67 - 1.02)。蒙特罗斯县在51年期间癌症死亡率没有升高,这表明历史上的选矿和采矿作业并未对蒙特罗斯县居民的健康产生不利影响。尽管如此类描述性相关分析无法得出确定性的因果推断,但男性而非女性中观察到的肺癌死亡率上升很可能是由于蒙特罗斯县地下矿工先前职业性接触氡和吸烟所致,这与之前对科罗拉多矿工和蒙特罗斯县乌拉万镇居民的队列研究结果一致。

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