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一项关于老年心力衰竭患者身体功能与预后关联的倾向匹配研究。

A propensity-matched study of the association of physical function and outcomes in geriatric heart failure.

作者信息

Ahmed Ali, Aronow Wilbert S

机构信息

University of Alabama at Birmingham, 1530 3rd Avenue South, CH-19, Ste-219, Birmingham, AL 35294-2041, USA.

出版信息

Arch Gerontol Geriatr. 2008 Mar-Apr;46(2):161-72. doi: 10.1016/j.archger.2007.03.010. Epub 2007 May 25.

Abstract

Most heart failure (HF) patients are older adults. However, the association of functional status and outcomes in ambulatory older adults with chronic HF has not been well studied. Of the 7788 Digitalis Investigation Group (DIG) trial participants, 4036 were > or =65 years. Of these, 1369 (34%) had New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III-IV symptoms. We calculated propensity scores for NYHA III-IV symptoms for all 4036 patients using a non-parsimonious logistic regression model. We used propensity scores to match 1010 (74% of 1369) NYHA III-IV patients with 1010 of NYHA I-II patients. Kaplan-Meier and matched Cox proportion hazard analyses were used to estimate associations of NYHA class III-IV with mortality and hospitalizations. Patients had a mean age of 73 years, 31% were female, and 11% were nonwhites. All-cause mortality occurred in 394 (rate, 1385/10000 person-years) NYHA I-II and 452 (rate, 1654/10000 person-years) NYHA III-IV patients, respectively, during 2967 and 2733 years of follow up (hazard ratio: {HR}, 1.28; 95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.09-1.50; p=0.002). NYHA III-IV class was associated with increased cardiovascular (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.04-1.49; p=0.016) and HF mortality (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.16-1.97; p=0.002). NYHA III-IV class was not significantly associated with hospitalizations due to all causes (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.96-1.25; p=0.165), cardiovascular causes (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.96-1.29; p=0.150), or worsening HF (HR, 1.09, 95% CI, 0.92-1.30; p=0.330). Baseline NYHA functional class was associated with mortality but not with hospitalization in ambulatory older adults with chronic HF.

摘要

大多数心力衰竭(HF)患者为老年人。然而,门诊慢性HF老年患者的功能状态与预后之间的关联尚未得到充分研究。在7788名洋地黄研究组(DIG)试验参与者中,4036人年龄≥65岁。其中,1369人(34%)有纽约心脏协会(NYHA)III-IV级症状。我们使用非简约逻辑回归模型为所有4036名患者计算NYHA III-IV级症状的倾向得分。我们使用倾向得分将1010名(1369人的74%)NYHA III-IV级患者与1010名NYHA I-II级患者进行匹配。采用Kaplan-Meier法和匹配的Cox比例风险分析来估计NYHA III-IV级与死亡率和住院率之间的关联。患者的平均年龄为73岁,31%为女性,11%为非白人。在2967年和2733年的随访期间,NYHA I-II级患者的全因死亡率分别为394例(发生率为1385/10000人年),NYHA III-IV级患者为452例(发生率为1654/10000人年)(风险比:{HR},1.28;95%置信区间{CI},1.09-1.50;p=0.002)。NYHA III-IV级与心血管死亡率增加(HR,1.25;95%CI,1.04-1.49;p=0.016)和HF死亡率增加(HR,1.51;95%CI,1.16-1.97;p=0.002)相关。NYHA III-IV级与所有原因导致的住院(HR,1.10;95%CI,0.96-1.25;p=0.165)、心血管原因导致的住院(HR,1.11;95%CI,0.96-1.29;p=0.150)或HF恶化导致的住院(HR,1.09,95%CI,0.92-1.30;p=0.330)均无显著关联。在门诊慢性HF老年患者中,基线NYHA功能分级与死亡率相关,但与住院率无关。

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本文引用的文献

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A propensity matched study of New York Heart Association class and natural history end points in heart failure.
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