Ellerin Bruce E
New York University School of Medicine, Department of Radiation Oncology, New York, NY, USA.
J Am Coll Radiol. 2007 Jun;4(6):362-70. doi: 10.1016/j.jacr.2007.01.009.
After a quarter century of national policy guided by two principal themes-fear of a physician workforce glut and official preference for careers in primary care medicine-the Council on Graduate Medical Education in January 2005 reversed course and announced its projection of a general physician shortage by 2020 and specifically named several specialties, including radiology, in which the shortage would be most severe. In response, the Association of American Medical Colleges initially proposed that medical schools increase enrollment by 15% and subsequently by 30% over the next 10 years. In the first of 3 articles devoted to the physician workforce crisis, the market model is applied to medical services, and questions are raised about the feasibility of the proposed medical school expansion.
在以两个主要主题为导向的国家政策实施了25年后——一是担心医生劳动力过剩，二是官方对基层医疗职业的偏好——研究生医学教育委员会于2005年1月改变了方针，宣布预计到2020年将出现全科医生短缺，并特别指出了包括放射学在内的几个专科，这些专科的短缺情况将最为严重。作为回应，美国医学院协会最初提议医学院在未来10年内将招生人数增加15%，随后再增加30%。在关于医生劳动力危机的三篇文章中的第一篇里，市场模型被应用于医疗服务，并对提议的医学院扩招的可行性提出了疑问。
