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宏观生态学对全球变化解决方案的贡献。

The macroecological contribution to global change solutions.

作者信息

Kerr Jeremy T, Kharouba Heather M, Currie David J

机构信息

Department of Biology, Canadian Facility for Ecoinformatics Research (CFER), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON K1N 6N5 Canada.

出版信息

Science. 2007 Jun 15;316(5831):1581-4. doi: 10.1126/science.1133267.

Abstract

Anthropogenic global changes threaten species and the ecosystem services upon which society depends. Effective solutions to this multifaceted crisis need scientific responses spanning disciplines and spatial scales. Macroecology develops broad-scale predictions of species' distributions and abundances, complementing the frequently local focus of global change biology. Macroecological discoveries rely particularly on correlative methods but have still proven effective in predicting global change impacts on species. However, global changes create pseudo-experimental opportunities to build stronger, mechanistic theories in macroecology that successfully predict multiple phenomena across spatial scales. Such macroecological perspectives will help address the biotic consequences of global change.

摘要

人为引起的全球变化威胁着物种以及社会所依赖的生态系统服务。要有效应对这一涉及多方面的危机,需要跨学科和空间尺度的科学对策。宏观生态学对物种的分布和丰度进行大规模预测,补充了全球变化生物学通常聚焦于局部的特点。宏观生态学的发现特别依赖相关方法,但在预测全球变化对物种的影响方面仍被证明是有效的。然而,全球变化创造了准实验机会,以在宏观生态学中建立更强有力的、基于机制的理论,从而成功预测跨空间尺度的多种现象。这样的宏观生态学观点将有助于应对全球变化的生物后果。

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