Marchi Lorenzo, Cavalli Marco
CNR IRPI Padova, Corso Stati Uniti 4, 35127, Padova, Italy.
Environ Manage. 2007 Sep;40(3):493-503. doi: 10.1007/s00267-006-0288-5. Epub 2007 Jun 28.
The reconstruction of triggering conditions, geomorphic effects, and damage produced by historical floods and debris flows significantly contributes to hazard assessment, allowing improved risk mitigation measures to be defined. Methods for the analysis of historical floods and debris flows vary greatly according to the type and quality of available data, which in turn are influenced by the time the events occurred. For floods and debris flows occurring in the Alps a few decades ago (between about 1950 and 1980), the documentation is usually better than for previous periods but, unlike events of most recent years, quantitative data are usually scanty and the description of the events does not aim to identify processes according to current terminology and classifications. The potential, and also the limitations of historical information available for the reconstruction of historical debris flows in the Alps have been explored by analyzing a high-magnitude debris flow that occurred on November 4, 1966 in the Chieppena Torrent (northeastern Italy). Reconstruction of the event was based on the use of written documentation, terrestrial and aerial photographs, and geomorphological maps. The analysis aimed to define the temporal development of phenomena, recognizing the type of flow processes and assessing some basic flow variables, such as volume, channel-debris yield rate, erosion depth, total distance traveled, and runout distance on the alluvial fan. The historical development of torrent hydraulic works, both before and after the debris flow of November 1966, was also analyzed with regard to the technical solutions adopted and their performance.
对历史洪水和泥石流的触发条件、地貌影响及造成的破坏进行重建,对灾害评估有显著贡献,有助于确定更有效的风险缓解措施。根据可用数据的类型和质量,历史洪水和泥石流的分析方法差异很大,而这些数据又受事件发生时间的影响。对于几十年前(约1950年至1980年)发生在阿尔卑斯山的洪水和泥石流,其记录通常比以前时期更好,但与近年来的事件不同,定量数据通常很少,而且对事件的描述并非旨在按照当前的术语和分类来识别过程。通过分析1966年11月4日发生在意大利东北部基耶佩纳河(Chieppena Torrent)的一次高强度泥石流,探讨了阿尔卑斯山历史泥石流重建可用历史信息的潜力及其局限性。该事件的重建基于书面记录、地面和航空照片以及地貌图的使用。分析旨在确定现象的时间发展,识别流动过程的类型,并评估一些基本的流动变量,如体积、河道泥石流产率、侵蚀深度、总行进距离和在冲积扇上的堆积距离。还分析了1966年11月泥石流前后洪流水利工程的历史发展,包括所采用的技术方案及其性能。