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用于考克斯和阿伦相加风险模型的米宗-理查德包含检验。

The Mizon-Richard encompassing test for the Cox and Aalen additive hazards models.

作者信息

Martinussen Torben, Aalen Odd O, Scheike Thomas H

机构信息

Department of Natural Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Thorvaldsensvej 40, DK-1871 Frederiksberg C, Denmark.

出版信息

Biometrics. 2008 Mar;64(1):164-71. doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2007.00840.x. Epub 2007 Jun 30.

Abstract

The Cox hazards model (Cox, 1972, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B34, 187-220) for survival data is routinely used in many applied fields, sometimes, however, with too little emphasis on the fit of the model. A useful alternative to the Cox model is the Aalen additive hazards model (Aalen, 1980, in Lecture Notes in Statistics-2, 1-25) that can easily accommodate time changing covariate effects. It is of interest to decide which of the two models that are most appropriate to apply in a given application. This is a nontrivial problem as these two classes of models are nonnested except only for special cases. In this article we explore the Mizon-Richard encompassing test for this particular problem. It turns out that it corresponds to fitting of the Aalen model to the martingale residuals obtained from the Cox regression analysis. We also consider a variant of this method, which relates to the proportional excess model (Martinussen and Scheike, 2002, Biometrika 89, 283-298). Large sample properties of the suggested methods under the two rival models are derived. The finite-sample properties of the proposed procedures are assessed through a simulation study. The methods are further applied to the well-known primary biliary cirrhosis data set.

摘要

用于生存数据的Cox风险模型(Cox,1972年,《皇家统计学会杂志》,B系列34卷,187 - 220页)在许多应用领域中经常被使用,然而,有时对该模型的拟合关注过少。Cox模型的一个有用替代方法是Aalen加性风险模型(Aalen,1980年,《统计学讲义 - 2》,1 - 25页),它可以轻松地纳入随时间变化的协变量效应。确定在给定应用中最适合应用这两种模型中的哪一种是很有意义的。这是一个不平凡的问题,因为除了特殊情况外,这两类模型是非嵌套的。在本文中,我们探讨针对这个特定问题的Mizon - Richard包含性检验。结果表明,它对应于将Aalen模型拟合到从Cox回归分析中获得的鞅残差。我们还考虑了该方法的一个变体,它与比例超额模型有关(Martinussen和Scheike,2002年,《生物统计学》89卷,283 - 298页)。推导了在两个竞争模型下所建议方法的大样本性质。通过模拟研究评估了所提出程序的有限样本性质。这些方法进一步应用于著名的原发性胆汁性肝硬化数据集。

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