Herrenkohl Todd I, Kosterman Rick, Mason W Alex, Hawkins J David
Social Development Research Group, University of Washington, Seattle 98115. USA.
Violence Vict. 2007;22(3):259-74. doi: 10.1891/088667007780842793.
Analyses first examined the developmental course of intimate partner violence (IPV), beginning with trajectories of youth violence. We then examined potential mediators of prior youth violence trajectories in models predicting later IPV perpetration as an outcome. Potential mediators include risks associated with the individual (e.g., current alcohol and drug use and mental health diagnosis), characteristics of a perpetrator's partner (e.g., use of alcohol/drugs and history of antisocial behavior), and aspects of the surrounding community (e.g., neighborhood norms favorable to violence and drug use). Data are from the Seattle Social Development Project, a longitudinal study of over 800 individuals followed from elementary school to young adulthood (age 24). Findings suggest that both chronic and late-increaser patterns of youth violence elevated the likelihood of later IPV perpetration. Partial mediation effects of the relation between youth violence and IPV were found for variables related to one's partner and the surrounding community. Individual characteristics of the perpetrator were not uniquely predictive of IPV when measured as a risk index and modeled along with other risk factors. Findings indicate that the risk of IPV could be lessened by addressing earlier forms of violence and by intervening to reduce risks within and across domains of influence.
分析首先考察亲密伴侣暴力(IPV)的发展过程,从青少年暴力轨迹开始。然后,我们在将后期IPV犯罪作为结果进行预测的模型中,考察先前青少年暴力轨迹的潜在中介因素。潜在中介因素包括与个体相关的风险(如当前的酒精和药物使用以及心理健康诊断)、施暴者伴侣的特征(如酒精/药物使用和反社会行为史)以及周边社区的一些方面(如有利于暴力和药物使用的邻里规范)。数据来自西雅图社会发展项目,这是一项对800多名个体从小学到青年期(24岁)进行跟踪的纵向研究。研究结果表明,青少年暴力的慢性和后期增加模式都提高了后期实施IPV的可能性。在与伴侣和周边社区相关的变量方面,发现了青少年暴力与IPV之间关系的部分中介效应。当将施暴者的个体特征作为风险指数进行测量并与其他风险因素一起建模时,它并不能唯一预测IPV。研究结果表明,通过解决早期形式的暴力以及通过干预来降低影响范围内和跨领域的风险,可以降低IPV的风险。