Sniderman Allan D, Holme Ingar, Aastveit Are, Furberg Curt, Walldius Goran, Jungner Ingmar
Mike Rosenbloom Laboratory for Cardiovascular Research, Royal Victoria Hospital, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Am J Cardiol. 2007 Jul 15;100(2):217-21. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2007.02.086. Epub 2007 May 30.
Age is by far the most powerful risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Moreover, the consequences of age are considered inevitable and irreversible. In this study, we examined whether age is, to a major degree, a modifiable risk factor. In the subjects in the Apolipoprotein-related Mortality Risk (AMORIS) study, we show that fatal myocardial infarction (MI) is uncommon in men before the sixth decade and in women before the seventh. In age-adjusted analyses, the risk of fatal MI increase successively with each decile of the apolipoprotein (apo) B/apoA-I ratio, confirming the importance of the balance of the atherogenic and antiatherogenic lipoproteins as a fundamental determinant of the likelihood of clinical events. We then determined the risk of fatal acute MI over time in the highest decile of the apoB/apoA-I ratio compared with the lowest decile. For the purposes of this analysis, we assume that all events in the lowest decile of the apoB/apoA-I ratio represent the nonmodifiable adverse effects of age. This assumption maximizes the irreversible effects of age. Because the change in age is identical for the subjects in both deciles, the difference in risk between the lowest and highest deciles of the apoB/apoA-I ratio represents the consequence of exposure over time to very high values of this ratio. Exposure is the modifiable element of risk, and it contributed to most of the risk. In conclusion, it appears that not all of the effects of age are irreversible. therefore, outcomes with early prevention might be much more favorable than usually assumed.
年龄是迄今为止心血管疾病最强大的风险因素。此外,年龄带来的后果被认为是不可避免且不可逆转的。在本研究中,我们探究了年龄在很大程度上是否是一个可改变的风险因素。在载脂蛋白相关死亡风险(AMORIS)研究的受试者中,我们发现致命性心肌梗死(MI)在60岁之前的男性和70岁之前的女性中并不常见。在年龄调整分析中,致命性MI的风险随着载脂蛋白(apo)B/apoA-I比值每增加十分位数而依次增加,这证实了致动脉粥样硬化脂蛋白和抗动脉粥样硬化脂蛋白的平衡作为临床事件发生可能性的基本决定因素的重要性。然后,我们确定了apoB/apoA-I比值最高十分位数组与最低十分位数组随时间发生致命性急性MI的风险。为了本次分析的目的,我们假设apoB/apoA-I比值最低十分位数组中的所有事件代表年龄不可改变的不利影响。这一假设使年龄的不可逆影响最大化。由于两个十分位数组中受试者的年龄变化相同,apoB/apoA-I比值最低和最高十分位数组之间的风险差异代表了随着时间推移暴露于该比值非常高的值的结果。暴露是风险中可改变的因素,并且它导致了大部分风险。总之,似乎并非年龄的所有影响都是不可逆的。因此,早期预防的结果可能比通常认为的要有利得多。