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1987 - 2002年瑞典的蛛网膜下腔出血:地区发病率和病死率

Subarachnoid haemorrhage in Sweden 1987-2002: regional incidence and case fatality rates.

作者信息

Koffijberg H, Buskens E, Granath F, Adami J, Ekbom A, Rinkel G J E, Blomqvist P

机构信息

University Medical Centre Utrecht, Julius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, STR 6.131/7.113, P.O. Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands.

出版信息

J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2008 Mar;79(3):294-9. doi: 10.1136/jnnp.2007.123901. Epub 2007 Jul 17.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Incidence estimates of subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) in Sweden vary, which may be caused by regional variations. Reliable estimates of age-specific case fatality rates are lacking. We analysed regional incidence rates and case fatality rates of SAH in Sweden.

METHODS

The Swedish Hospital Discharge and Cause of Death Registries from 1987 to 2002 yielded data on 18 443 patients with SAH. Incidence and case fatality rates by age, gender, region and time period were calculated by Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The incidence rate was 12.4 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI 12.2 to 12.6) and increased with age, from 6.4/100,000 person-years in patients who were 30-39 years old to 25.8/100,000 person-years in patients who were older than 80 years. Incidence was higher for women (14.4 (95% CI 14.2 to 14.7)) than for men (10.3 (95% CI 10.3 to 10.6)), and higher in the north than in the south (RR 1.31 (95% CI 1.25 to 1.37)). This geographical gradient was more evident in women (RR 1.41 (95% CI 1.33 to 1.49)) than in men (RR 1.23 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.33)). The 28-day case fatality rate was 31.7% (95% CI 31.0 to 32.3). It increased with age from 18.1% (95% CI 16.0 to 20.3) in patients who were 30-39 years old to 57.6% (95% CI 55.2 to 59.9) in patients over 80 years, then levelling off. Over time (1995-2002 compared with 1987-1994), the incidence rate decreased (RR 0.93 (95% CI 0.90 to 0.96)) and case fatality rate decreased (RR 0.89 (95% CI 0.85 to 0.93)).

CONCLUSIONS

SAH incidence rates in Sweden increase from south to north, more in women than in men. Octogenarians have a quadrupled incidence and a tripled case fatality compared with young adults. During 16 years, both incidence and case fatality have decreased.

摘要

背景

瑞典蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)的发病率估计值存在差异,这可能是由地区差异所致。目前缺乏针对特定年龄的病死率的可靠估计。我们分析了瑞典SAH的地区发病率和病死率。

方法

1987年至2002年瑞典医院出院登记和死亡原因登记提供了18443例SAH患者的数据。通过泊松回归计算年龄、性别、地区和时间段的发病率和病死率。

结果

发病率为每10万人年12.4例(95%可信区间12.2至12.6),且随年龄增加,30 - 39岁患者为6.4/10万人年,80岁以上患者为25.8/10万人年。女性发病率(14.4(95%可信区间14.2至14.7))高于男性(10.3(95%可信区间10.3至10.6)),北部高于南部(相对风险1.31(95%可信区间1.25至1.37))。这种地理梯度在女性中(相对风险1.41(95%可信区间1.33至1.49))比男性中(相对风险1.23(95%可信区间1.15至1.33))更明显。28天病死率为31.7%(95%可信区间31.0至32.3)。随年龄增加,30 - 39岁患者为18.1%(95%可信区间16.0至20.3),80岁以上患者为57.6%(95%可信区间55.2至59.9),之后趋于平稳。随着时间推移(与1987 - 1994年相比,1995 - 2002年),发病率下降(相对风险0.93(95%可信区间0.90至0.96)),病死率下降(相对风险0.89(95%可信区间0.85至0.93))。

结论

瑞典SAH发病率从南向北增加,女性比男性增加更多。与年轻人相比,八旬老人发病率增加四倍,病死率增加两倍。在16年期间,发病率和病死率均下降。

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