Akumu Angela Oloo, English Mike, Scott J Anthony G, Griffiths Ulla K
Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)/Wellcome Trust. Nairobi, Kenya.
Bull World Health Organ. 2007 Jul;85(7):511-8. doi: 10.2471/blt.06.034686.
Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) vaccine was introduced into routine immunization services in Kenya in 2001. We aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of Hib vaccine delivery.
A model was developed to follow the Kenyan 2004 birth cohort until death, with and without Hib vaccine. Incidence of invasive Hib disease was estimated at Kilifi District Hospital and in the surrounding demographic surveillance system in coastal Kenya. National Hib disease incidence was estimated by adjusting incidence observed by passive hospital surveillance using assumptions about access to care. Case fatality rates were also assumed dependent on access to care. A price of US$ 3.65 per dose of pentavalent diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-hep B-Hib vaccine was used. Multivariate Monte Carlo simulations were performed in order to assess the impact on the cost-effectiveness ratios of uncertainty in parameter values.
The introduction of Hib vaccine reduced the estimated incidence of Hib meningitis per 100,000 children aged < 5 years from 71 to 8; of Hib non-meningitic invasive disease from 61 to 7; and of non-bacteraemic Hib pneumonia from 296 to 34. The costs per discounted disability adjusted life year (DALY) and per discounted death averted were US$ 38 (95% confidence interval, CI: 26-63) and US$ 1197 (95% CI: 814-2021) respectively. Most of the uncertainty in the results was due to uncertain access to care parameters. The break-even pentavalent vaccine price--where incremental Hib vaccination costs equal treatment costs averted from Hib disease--was US$ 1.82 per dose.
Hib vaccine is a highly cost-effective intervention in Kenya. It would be cost-saving if the vaccine price was below half of its present level.
b型流感嗜血杆菌(Hib)疫苗于2001年在肯尼亚被纳入常规免疫服务。我们旨在评估Hib疫苗接种的成本效益。
建立了一个模型,追踪肯尼亚2004年出生队列直至死亡,分别考虑接种和未接种Hib疫苗的情况。在基利菲区医院及肯尼亚沿海周边人口监测系统中估算侵袭性Hib疾病的发病率。通过利用关于就医机会的假设,对被动医院监测所观察到的发病率进行调整,从而估算全国Hib疾病发病率。还假定病死率取决于就医机会。使用每剂3.65美元的五价白喉-破伤风-百日咳-乙肝-Hib疫苗价格。进行多变量蒙特卡洛模拟,以评估参数值不确定性对成本效益比的影响。
引入Hib疫苗后,每10万名5岁以下儿童中,Hib脑膜炎的估计发病率从71例降至8例;Hib非脑膜炎侵袭性疾病从61例降至7例;非菌血症性Hib肺炎从296例降至34例。每贴现伤残调整生命年(DALY)和每避免一例贴现死亡的成本分别为38美元(95%置信区间,CI:26 - 63)和1197美元(95%CI:814 - 2021)。结果中大部分不确定性源于就医机会参数的不确定性。盈亏平衡的五价疫苗价格(即Hib疫苗接种增量成本等于因Hib疾病避免的治疗成本时的价格)为每剂1.82美元。
Hib疫苗在肯尼亚是一种极具成本效益的干预措施。如果疫苗价格低于当前水平的一半,将节省成本。