Science. 1987 Nov 13;238(4829):921-5. doi: 10.1126/science.238.4829.921.
A real-time system for issuing warnings of landslides during major storms is being developed for the San Francisco Bay region, California. The system is based on empirical and theoretical relations between rainfall and landslide initiation, geologic determination of areas susceptible to landslides, real-time monitoring of a regional network of telemetering rain gages, and National Weather Service precipitation forecasts. This system was used to issue warnings during the storms of 12 to 21 February 1986, which produced 800 millimeters of rainfall in the region. Although analysis after the storms suggests that modifications and additional development are needed, the system successfully predicted the times of major landslide events. It could be used as a prototype for systems in other landslide-prone regions.
加利福尼亚州旧金山湾区正在开发一种实时系统，用于在大风暴期间发布滑坡警报。该系统基于降雨和滑坡启动之间的经验和理论关系、易发生滑坡的地区的地质确定、区域遥测雨量计网络的实时监测以及美国国家气象局的降水预报。该系统用于在 1986 年 2 月 12 日至 21 日的风暴期间发布警报，该地区降雨量达 800 毫米。尽管风暴后的分析表明需要进行修改和进一步开发，但该系统成功预测了重大滑坡事件的时间。它可以用作其他易发生滑坡地区系统的原型。
