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破坏性水文地质事件分析:以卡拉布里亚地区(意大利南部)为例。

Analysis of damaging hydrogeological events: the case of the Calabria Region (Southern Italy).

作者信息

Petrucci O, Polemio M, Pasqua A A

机构信息

Department of Cosenza, CNR-IRPI, Cosenza, Italy.

出版信息

Environ Manage. 2009 Mar;43(3):483-95. doi: 10.1007/s00267-008-9234-z. Epub 2008 Nov 25.

Abstract

A period of bad weather conditions due to prolonged intense rainfall and strong winds can trigger landslides, floods, secondary floods (accumulation of rain on surfaces with low permeability), and sea storms, causing damage to humans and infrastructure. As a whole, these periods of bad weather and triggered phenomena can be defined as damaging hydrogeological events (DHEs). We define a methodological approach based on seven simple indexes to analyze such events. The indexes describe the return period (T) and trend of rainfall, the extent of hit areas, and the level of damages; they can be considered attributes of georeferenced features and analyzed with GIS techniques. We tested our method in an Italian region frequently hit by DHEs. In a period of 10 years, 747 damaging phenomena (landslides, 43%; floods, 38%) and 94 DHEs have been classified. The road network and housing areas are the most frequently damaged elements, threatened by all types of damaging phenomena. T classes are almost in accordance with the level of damage. These results can be used to outline warning levels for civil protection purposes, to forecast the areas most likely to be hit and the potential ensuing damage, to disseminate information concerning vulnerable areas, and to increase people's awareness of risk.

摘要

由于长时间强降雨和大风导致的一段恶劣天气状况,可能引发山体滑坡、洪水、次生洪水(雨水在低渗透性表面的积聚)和风暴潮,对人类和基础设施造成破坏。总体而言,这些恶劣天气时段及其引发的现象可被定义为破坏性水文地质事件(DHEs)。我们基于七个简单指标定义了一种方法来分析此类事件。这些指标描述了降雨的重现期(T)和趋势、受灾区域范围以及破坏程度;它们可被视为地理参考特征的属性,并通过地理信息系统(GIS)技术进行分析。我们在意大利一个经常遭受DHEs袭击的地区对我们的方法进行了测试。在十年时间里,共分类了747起破坏现象(山体滑坡,43%;洪水,38%)和94起DHEs。道路网络和住宅区是最常受损的元素,受到各类破坏现象的威胁。T类几乎与破坏程度相符。这些结果可用于勾勒用于民防目的的预警级别,预测最可能受灾的区域以及可能随之而来的破坏,传播有关脆弱地区的信息,并提高人们的风险意识。

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