Velayati Ali-Akbar, Bakayev Valerii, Bahadori Moslem, Tabatabaei Seyed-Javad, Alaei Arash, Farahbood Amir, Masjedi Mohammad-Reza
National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Shaheed Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Shaheed Bahonar Avenue, Darabad, Tehran 19575, Iran.
Arch Iran Med. 2007 Oct;10(4):486-97.
The pandemic of HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa and the rise of epidemics in Asia to the previously unforeseen level are likely to have global social, economic, and political impacts. In this emergency, it is vital to reappraise the weight of powerful religious and cultural factors in spreading the disease. The role of Islam in shaping values, norms, and public policies in North African states is to be appreciated for the lowest HIV prevalence in their populations. Yet, the place of religion in prevention of the disease diffusion is not fully understood nor worldwide acknowledged by the primary decision makers. Another topic, which has received little attention to date, despite the abundance of literature concerning the unfortunate Africa's anti-AIDS campaign, is an issue of colonial past.
To better comprehend the share of both traits in diverse spread of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa, we studied the correlation between Muslim and Christian proportions in the state's population and HIV rate.
By this method, Muslim percentage came out as a potential predictor of HIV prevalence in a given state. In another approach, most subcontinental countries were clustered by colocalization and similarity in their leading religion, colonial past, and HIV seroprevalence starting from barely noticeable (0.6 - 1.2%, for Mauritania, Senegal, Somalia, and Niger) and low levels (1.9 - 4.8%, for Mali, Eritrea, Djibouti, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Burkina-Faso, and Chad) for Muslim populated past possessions of France and Italy, in the northern part of the subcontinent. Former territories of France, Belgium, Portugal, and the UK formed two other groups of the countries nearing the equator with Catholic prevailing (Democratic Republic of Congo, Republic of Congo, Rwanda, Gabon, and Burundi) or mixed populations comprising Christian, Muslim, and indigenous believers (Benin, Ghana, Uganda, Togo, Angola, Nigeria, Liberia, Kenya, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, and Sierra-Leone), which covered the HIV prevalence range from 1.9% to 7%. Albeit being traced by origin to the central part of the continent, HIV has reached the highest rates in the South, particularly Malawi (14.2%), Zambia (16.5%), South Africa (21.5%), Zimbabwe (24.6%), Lesotho (28.9%), Botswana (37.3%), and Swaziland (38.8%)-all former British colonies with dominating Christian population.
In the group ranking list, a distinct North to South oriented incline in HIV rates related to prevailing religion and previous colonial history of the country was found, endorsing the preventive role of the Islam against rising HIV and the increased vulnerability to menace in states with particular colonial record.
撒哈拉以南非洲地区的艾滋病毒/艾滋病大流行以及亚洲地区疫情上升到此前难以预见的水平,可能会产生全球社会、经济和政治影响。在这种紧急情况下,重新评估强大的宗教和文化因素在疾病传播中的作用至关重要。伊斯兰教在塑造北非国家的价值观、规范和公共政策方面的作用,因其民众中艾滋病毒感染率最低而值得重视。然而,宗教在预防疾病传播中的作用尚未得到主要决策者的充分理解,也未得到全球认可。另一个话题,尽管有大量关于非洲不幸的抗艾滋病运动的文献,但迄今为止很少受到关注,这就是殖民历史问题。
为了更好地理解这两种特征在撒哈拉以南非洲地区艾滋病毒不同传播情况中的占比,我们研究了一个国家人口中穆斯林和基督教徒比例与艾滋病毒感染率之间的相关性。
通过这种方法,穆斯林比例成为给定国家艾滋病毒感染率的一个潜在预测指标。在另一种方法中,大多数次大陆国家根据其主要宗教、殖民历史和艾滋病毒血清流行率的共定位和相似性进行聚类,从次大陆北部法国和意大利过去的穆斯林聚居地的极低水平(毛里塔尼亚、塞内加尔、索马里和尼日尔为0.6 - 1.2%)和低水平(马里、厄立特里亚、吉布提、几内亚、几内亚比绍、布基纳法索和乍得为1.9 - 4.8%)开始。法国、比利时、葡萄牙和英国的前殖民地形成了另外两组国家,靠近赤道地区,一组以天主教为主(刚果民主共和国、刚果共和国、卢旺达、加蓬和布隆迪),另一组是包括基督教徒、穆斯林和本土信徒的混合人口(贝宁、加纳、乌干达、多哥、安哥拉、尼日利亚、利比里亚、肯尼亚、喀麦隆、科特迪瓦和塞拉利昂),其艾滋病毒感染率范围为1.9%至7%。尽管艾滋病毒起源于非洲大陆中部,但在南部地区感染率最高,特别是马拉维(14.2%)、赞比亚(16.5%)、南非(21.5%)、津巴布韦(24.6%)、莱索托(28.9%)、博茨瓦纳(37.3%)和斯威士兰(38.8%)——所有这些都是基督教人口占主导的前英国殖民地。
在分组排名列表中,发现与该国主要宗教和先前殖民历史相关的艾滋病毒感染率呈现出明显的从北到南的上升趋势,这支持了伊斯兰教在预防艾滋病毒上升方面的作用,以及具有特定殖民历史的国家更容易受到威胁的观点。