Suppr超能文献

[为癌症控制分配资源——运用层次分析法解决多标准决策问题]

[Allocating resources for cancer control--resolving multicriteria decision-making using the analytic hierarchy process].

作者信息

Gróf Agnes

机构信息

StratMed Kft, Pécs, Hungary.

出版信息

Magy Onkol. 2007;51(3):197-208. Epub 2007 Oct 7.

Abstract

When competing programs ought to be financed simultaneously for the same purpose, an allocation problem occurs due to scarce resources, and different perspectives and preferences. Facing the problem needs determining criteria which the decision might be based on. Those criteria form the objectives (the scope) of the different participants, and are relevant for the achievement of the goal, providing a comprehensive resource allocation that bridges and integrates the different perspectives. In case of cancer control primary prevention, secondary prevention, therapy and tertiary prevention, education, basic sciences, and clinical trials form the alternatives. An analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used for supporting decision-making in the resource allocation problem. AHP is a method for setting priorities, but can only work out the implications of what was declared through the pairwise-ranking process, namely the relative preferences, weighing the criteria and rating the alternatives two by two. In the first analysis the relative weights to criteria were 0.099 for 'distributive justice'; 0.120 for constitutional and human rights; 0.251 for lay opinion; 0.393 for EBM; 0.137 for cost-effectiveness. Ranking the alternatives using 'judgements' resulted in relative preference of 0.238 for therapy, 0.204 for primary prevention, 0.201 for secondary prevention, 0.135 for clinical trials, 0.111 for tertiary prevention, 0.066 for basic sciences and 0.045 for education. In the second analysis the relative importance of "cost-effectiveness" was doubled, thus resulting in 0.234 for therapy, 0.216 for secondary prevention, 0.183 for primary prevention, 0.145 for clinical trials, 0.113 for tertiary prevention, 0.063 for basic sciences and 0.046 for education. Sensitivity analysis has shown that increasing the relative weight of cost-effectiveness up to approximately 0.4 changes the rank of alternatives, and above 0.4 this criterion gives secondary prevention preferences. According to the relative rates computed in both of the models all criteria vote for therapy, but these preferences change at the high level of weights, in case of EBM, 'rights', and cost-effectiveness. Cost-effectiveness prefers secondary prevention to therapy; the criterion of constitutional and human rights and the criterion of evidence-based medicine vote for primary prevention.

摘要

当出于相同目的需要同时资助相互竞争的项目时,由于资源稀缺、不同的观点和偏好,就会出现分配问题。面对这一问题需要确定决策可能依据的标准。这些标准构成了不同参与者的目标(范围),并且与目标的实现相关,提供一种全面的资源分配方式,以弥合和整合不同的观点。在癌症控制方面,一级预防、二级预防、治疗和三级预防、教育、基础科学以及临床试验构成了备选方案。层次分析法(AHP)用于支持资源分配问题中的决策制定。层次分析法是一种确定优先级的方法,但只能得出通过两两排序过程所表明内容的含义,即相对偏好,对标准进行权衡并对备选方案两两评级。在第一次分析中,“分配正义”标准的相对权重为0.099;宪法和人权为0.120;公众意见为0.251;循证医学为0.393;成本效益为0.137。使用“判断”对备选方案进行排序,得出治疗的相对偏好为0.238,一级预防为0.204,二级预防为0.201,临床试验为0.135,三级预防为0.111,基础科学为0.066,教育为0.045。在第二次分析中,“成本效益”的相对重要性加倍,因此得出治疗的相对偏好为0.234,二级预防为0.216,一级预防为0.183,临床试验为0.145,三级预防为0.113,基础科学为0.063,教育为0.046。敏感性分析表明,将成本效益的相对权重增加到约0.4会改变备选方案的排名,而权重高于0.4时,该标准会使二级预防更受青睐。根据两个模型计算出的相对比率,所有标准都支持治疗,但在权重较高时,这些偏好在循证医学、“权利”和成本效益方面会发生变化。成本效益更倾向于二级预防而非治疗;宪法和人权标准以及循证医学标准支持一级预防。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验