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1991 - 1996年,佐治亚州亚特兰大市事后人口普查与两次人口普查间人口估计对特定发育障碍患病率的影响

Impact of postcensal versus intercensal population estimates on prevalence of selected developmental disabilities--metropolitan Atlanta, Georgia, 1991-1996.

作者信息

Lazarus Carrie, Autry Andy, Baio Jon, Avchen Rachel Nonkin, Van Naarden Braun Kim

机构信息

National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA.

出版信息

Am J Ment Retard. 2007 Nov;112(6):462-6. doi: 10.1352/0895-8017(2007)112[462:IOPVIP]2.0.CO;2.

Abstract

Prevalence estimates often use U.S. Census Bureau estimates of the population as denominator data. Postcensal estimates are population estimates produced following a decennial census. Intercensal estimates are surrounded by 2 census years and supersede postcensal estimates. In this report we describe prevalence estimates in Atlanta for mental retardation, cerebral palsy, and hearing and vision loss for 8 year olds from 1991-1994 and 1996. We used calculations of postcensal and intercensal population estimates. Intercensal population data were consistently higher than postcensal data, and prevalence estimates for developmental disabilities were lower using intercensal population data. This discrepancy varied by race and ethnicity. Comparison of population estimates, particularly at state and local levels, should be considered to assess meaningful differences in published prevalence estimates using intercensal data.

摘要

患病率估计通常使用美国人口普查局的人口估计数作为分母数据。普查后估计数是在十年一次的人口普查之后得出的人口估计数。两次普查之间的估计数处于两个普查年份之间,并取代普查后估计数。在本报告中,我们描述了1991 - 1994年和1996年亚特兰大8岁儿童智力迟钝、脑瘫以及听力和视力丧失的患病率估计情况。我们采用了普查后和两次普查之间的人口估计数计算方法。两次普查之间的人口数据始终高于普查后数据,并且使用两次普查之间的人口数据得出的发育障碍患病率估计值较低。这种差异因种族和民族而异。在评估使用两次普查之间的数据公布的患病率估计值中的有意义差异时,应考虑人口估计数的比较,尤其是在州和地方层面。

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