Neidecker-Gonzales Oscar, Nestel Penelope, Bouis Howarth
HarvestPlus, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA.
Food Nutr Bull. 2007 Sep;28(3):307-16. doi: 10.1177/156482650702800307.
Vitamin A supplementation reduces child mortality. It is estimated that 500 million vitamin A capsules are distributed annually. Policy recommendations have assumed that the supplementation programs offer a proven technology at a relatively low cost of around US$0.10 per capsule.
To review data on costs of vitamin A supplementation to analyze the key factors that determine program costs, and to attempt to model these costs as a function of per capita income figures.
Using data from detailed cost studies in seven countries, this study generated comparable cost categories for analysis, and then used the correlation between national incomes and wage rates to postulate a simple model where costs of vitamin A supplementation are regressed on per capita incomes.
Costs vary substantially by country and depend principally on the cost of labor, which is highly correlated with per capita income. Two other factors driving costs are whether the program is implemented in conjunction with other health programs, such as National Immunization Days (which lowers costs), and coverage in rural areas (which increases costs). Labor accounts for 70% of total costs, both for paid staff and for volunteers, while the capsules account for less than 5%. Marketing, training, and administration account for the remaining 25%.
Total costs are lowest (roughly US$0.50 per capsule) in Africa, where wages and incomes are lowest, US$1 in developing countries in Asia, and US$1.50 in Latin America. Overall, this study derives a much higher global estimate of costs of around US$1 per capsule.
补充维生素A可降低儿童死亡率。据估计,每年分发5亿粒维生素A胶囊。政策建议假定补充计划提供了一种经证实的技术,每粒胶囊成本相对较低,约为0.10美元。
回顾维生素A补充成本的数据,分析决定计划成本的关键因素,并尝试将这些成本建模为人均收入数字的函数。
利用来自七个国家详细成本研究的数据,本研究生成了可比的成本类别进行分析,然后利用国民收入与工资率之间的相关性,假设一个简单模型,将维生素A补充成本对人均收入进行回归。
各国成本差异很大,主要取决于劳动力成本,而劳动力成本与人均收入高度相关。推动成本的另外两个因素是该计划是否与其他卫生计划(如全国免疫日,可降低成本)联合实施,以及农村地区的覆盖率(会增加成本)。劳动力成本占总成本的70%,包括带薪工作人员和志愿者的成本,而胶囊成本占比不到5%。营销、培训和管理占其余的25%。
在工资和收入最低的非洲,总成本最低(约每粒胶囊0.50美元),亚洲发展中国家为1美元,拉丁美洲为1.50美元。总体而言,本研究得出的全球成本估计要高得多,约为每粒胶囊1美元。