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使用建模系统作为空气质量管理工具:年度高分辨率模拟与评估

The use of a modelling system as a tool for air quality management: annual high-resolution simulations and evaluation.

作者信息

Jiménez-Guerrero Pedro, Jorba Oriol, Baldasano José M, Gassó Santiago

机构信息

Earth Sciences Department, Barcelona Supercomputing Center-Centro Nacional de Supercomputación (BSC-CNS). Jordi Girona 29, Edificio Nexus II, 08034 Barcelona, Spain.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2008 Feb 15;390(2-3):323-40. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2007.10.025. Epub 2007 Nov 28.

Abstract

The high levels of air pollutants over the North-Western Mediterranean (NWM) exceed the thresholds set in current air quality regulations. They demand a detailed diagnosis of those areas where the exceedances of thresholds related to human health are found. In this sense, there is a need for modelling studies for the specific area of the NWM that take into account the annual cycle to address the diagnosis of air pollution. A new approach to the modelling of air quality in the NWM has been adopted by combining the WRF-EMICAT-CMAQ-DREAM modelling system to diagnose the current status of the levels of photochemical air pollution (focusing on ozone, O(3); nitrogen dioxide, NO(2); carbon monoxide, CO; and particulate matter, PM10) in the area during an annual cycle (year 2004). The complexity of the area of study requires the application of high spatial and temporal resolution (2 km and 1 h). The annual simulations need to cover the complex different meteorological situations and types of episodes of air pollution in the area of study. The outputs of the modelling system are evaluated against observations from 52 meteorological and 59 air quality stations belonging to the Environmental Department of the Catalonia Government (Spain), which involve a dense and accurate spatial distribution of stations in the territory (32,215 km(2)). The results indicate a good behaviour of the model in both coastal and inland areas of the NWM, with a slight trend to the overestimation of tropospheric O(3) concentrations and the underestimation of other photochemical pollutants (NO(2), CO and PM10). The modelling diagnosis indicates that the main air quality-related problems in the NWM are the exceedances of the 1-hr O(3) information threshold set in the Directive 2002/3/EC (180 microg m(-3)) as a consequence of the transport of O(3) precursors downwind the Barcelona Greater Area (BGA); and the exceedances of the annual value for the protection of human health for NO(2) and PM10 (40 microg m(-3), Directive 1999/30/EC), both in the BGA, as a consequence of the high traffic-related emissions.

摘要

地中海西北部(NWM)的高空气污染物水平超过了现行空气质量法规设定的阈值。这就需要对那些发现与人类健康相关阈值超标情况的区域进行详细诊断。从这个意义上讲,有必要针对NWM的特定区域开展建模研究,同时考虑年度周期来解决空气污染诊断问题。通过结合WRF-EMICAT-CMAQ-DREAM建模系统,采用了一种新的NWM空气质量建模方法,以诊断该区域在年度周期(2004年)内光化学空气污染水平(重点关注臭氧(O₃)、二氧化氮(NO₂)、一氧化碳(CO)和颗粒物(PM10))的当前状况。研究区域的复杂性要求应用高空间和时间分辨率(2公里和1小时)。年度模拟需要涵盖研究区域内复杂多样的气象状况和空气污染事件类型。建模系统的输出结果与来自西班牙加泰罗尼亚政府环境部门的52个气象站和59个空气质量站的观测数据进行了评估对比,这些站点在该地区(32,215平方公里)形成了密集且精确的空间分布。结果表明,该模型在NWM的沿海和内陆地区表现良好,但对流层O₃浓度略有高估趋势,而对其他光化学污染物(NO₂、CO和PM10)则略有低估。建模诊断表明,NWM主要的空气质量相关问题包括:由于O₃前体物向巴塞罗那大都市区(BGA)下风方向的传输,导致超过了2002/3/EC指令设定的1小时O₃信息阈值(180微克/立方米);以及在BGA内,由于与交通相关的高排放,导致NO₂和PM10超过了保护人类健康的年度值(40微克/立方米,1999/30/EC指令)。

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