Determinants of the evolution of the health situation of the population.

The objective of the present project is to evaluate the relative importance of different governmental social programmes for health development during the 1970's. National statistics available for the whole period and disaggregated to district level were analyzed with particular regard to three indicators of infant health status when the infant mortality rate was used, increased access to secondary care and improved socio-economic status were related to improvement in infant health status. When the percentage of neonatal deaths or the percentage of deceased live births per woman was used, neither the socio-economic improvement nor the assess to secondary did explain the improvement. Moreover, the primary health programme did not seem to be of importance in explaining the changes in the three indicators of infant health status. A second phase of the project, currently ongoing, is aimed at the evaluation of other factors such as the degree of efficiency of some of the health programmes. This study is based on directly collected information, quantitative as well as qualitative. Structured interviews have been used together with anthropological information from in-depth interviews with individuals and groups. The preliminary results of this second phase indicate that the contradictions observed in the first phase might be due to shortcomings in the national registers. In one of the study areas the coverage of PHC developed earlier than indicated by the official information. In other areas it was found that different obstacles as access problems, lack of health centers, socio-economical problems and lack of cultural knowledge reduced the effectiveness and impact of the primary health programmes.