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胎儿膈疝生存预测中肺大小评估的时机

Timing of lung size assessment in the prediction of survival in fetuses with diaphragmatic hernia.

作者信息

Jani J, Nicolaides K H, Benachi A, Moreno O, Favre R, Gratacos E, Deprest J

机构信息

Fetal Medicine Units of University Hospital Gasthuisberg, Leuven, Belgium.

出版信息

Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol. 2008 Jan;31(1):37-40. doi: 10.1002/uog.5198.

DOI:10.1002/uog.5198
PMID:18069722
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether the prediction of postnatal outcome of fetuses with isolated congenital diaphragmatic hernia depends on the gestational age at assessment using the fetal observed to expected (O/E) lung area to head circumference ratio (LHR), by comparing the performance of the test at 22-23 weeks with that at 32-33 weeks of gestation.

METHODS

Following prenatal diagnosis of isolated diaphragmatic hernia before 22 weeks, we evaluated the O/E LHR at 22-32 weeks and again at 32-33 weeks of gestation. Only cases liveborn beyond 34 weeks of gestation and with postnatal follow-up available until discharge from the hospital were included. Regression analysis was used to examine the effect on postnatal survival of O/E LHR, gestational age at delivery, side of the diaphragmatic hernia and intrathoracic position of the liver. Wilcoxon rank test for paired samples was used to compare median O/E LHR at 22-23 weeks and 32-33 weeks, in babies who survived and in those who died. Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves were constructed for the prediction of survival by O/E LHR at 22-23 weeks and at 32-33 weeks.

RESULTS

In total, 53 pairs of measurements could be assessed. Univariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that significant predictors of survival were the presence or absence of intrathoracic herniation of the liver, the O/E LHR at 22-23 weeks and the O/E LHR at 32-33 weeks of gestation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that only O/E LHR at 22-23 weeks or 32-33 weeks provided significant independent prediction of survival. The median O/E LHR at 22-23 weeks was not significantly different from that at 32-23 weeks either in survivors or in babies that subsequently died in the neonatal period (P = 0.25 and P = 0.09, respectively). The area under the ROC curve for prediction of postnatal survival from the O/E LHR at 22-23 weeks was 0.789 (P < 0.001) and that for prediction from the O/E LHR at 32-33 weeks was 0.842 (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In isolated diaphragmatic hernia, O/E LHR measurement at 22-23 weeks as well as at 32-33 weeks provides useful independent prediction of subsequent survival. The prediction of postnatal survival using O/E LHR is independent of the timing of assessment.

摘要

目的

通过比较孕22 - 23周与孕32 - 33周时胎儿观察到的与预期的(O/E)肺面积与头围比值(LHR)对孤立性先天性膈疝胎儿产后结局的预测情况,研究预测是否取决于评估时的孕周。

方法

在孕22周前对孤立性膈疝进行产前诊断后,我们在孕22 - 32周以及孕32 - 33周时评估O/E LHR。仅纳入孕周超过34周且有产后随访直至出院的活产病例。采用回归分析来检验O/E LHR、分娩时的孕周、膈疝的侧别以及肝脏的胸腔内位置对产后生存的影响。采用配对样本的Wilcoxon秩和检验来比较存活婴儿和死亡婴儿在孕22 - 23周和32 - 33周时的O/E LHR中位数。构建孕22 - 23周和32 - 33周时O/E LHR预测生存的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线。

结果

总共可评估53对测量值。单因素逻辑回归分析表明,生存的显著预测因素是肝脏胸腔内疝的有无、孕22 - 23周时的O/E LHR以及孕32 - 33周时的O/E LHR。多因素逻辑回归分析表明,仅孕22 - 23周或32 - 33周时的O/E LHR能提供对生存的显著独立预测。在存活者以及随后在新生儿期死亡的婴儿中,孕22 - 23周时的O/E LHR中位数与32 - 23周时的中位数无显著差异(分别为P = 0.25和P = 0.09)。孕22 - 23周时O/E LHR预测产后生存的ROC曲线下面积为0.789(P < 0.001),孕32 - 33周时预测的曲线下面积为0.842(P < 0.001)。

结论

在孤立性膈疝中,孕22 - 23周以及孕32 - 33周时测量O/E LHR能为后续生存提供有用的独立预测。使用O/E LHR预测产后生存与评估时间无关。

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