Keizer Renske, Dykstra Pearl A, Jansen Miranda D
Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague, The Netherlands.
J Biosoc Sci. 2008 Nov;40(6):863-78. doi: 10.1017/S0021932007002660. Epub 2007 Dec 20.
Using data from the first wave of the Netherlands Kinship Panel Study (NKPS) for 2867 women and 2195 men aged 40 to 79, this study examines to what extent educational, employment and marital pathways shape the likelihood of remaining childless, and whether these pathways are gendered. The findings indicate that women and men have distinctive pathways into childlessness. Educational attainment increases the likelihood of remaining childless among women only. A stable career increases the likelihood of remaining childless among women, but it increases the likelihood of entering fatherhood. Years without a partner is positively associated with childlessness among both women and men. Not having had a partnership and having had multiple partnerships are strong determinants of childlessness, especially among men.
本研究利用荷兰亲属关系面板研究（NKPS）第一波针对2867名年龄在40至79岁之间的女性和2195名男性的数据，考察教育、就业和婚姻路径在多大程度上影响无子女的可能性，以及这些路径是否存在性别差异。研究结果表明，男性和女性通往无子女状态的路径有所不同。教育程度仅会增加女性无子女的可能性。稳定的职业会增加女性无子女的可能性，但会增加男性成为父亲的可能性。男女双方无伴侣的年限均与无子女呈正相关。未曾有过伴侣关系以及有过多次伴侣关系是无子女的重要决定因素，尤其是在男性中。
