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周末做点什么?审视鸟类物候记录中的偏差。

Something for the weekend? Examining the bias in avian phenological recording.

作者信息

Sparks Tim H, Huber Kerstin, Tryjanowski Piotr

机构信息

NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Monks Wood, Abbots Ripton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, UK.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2008 Jul;52(6):505-10. doi: 10.1007/s00484-008-0146-7. Epub 2008 Jan 31.

Abstract

In this paper we examine the bias towards weekend recording (the weekend effect) in volunteer phenology, using over 14,000 bird migration phenological observations from eight locations in the UK as a data source. Data from 45 bird species were used. Overall, 44% of all records were taken at weekends in contrast to the 28.6% (i.e. two out of seven days) that would be expected if records were evenly spread throughout the week. Whilst there is documented evidence of environmental differences at weekends, particularly in large urban areas, we believe the weekend effect is mostly a consequence of greater recorder effort at weekends. Some birds, likely to be obvious by their behaviour or abundance, had fewer weekend records than the remaining species. The weekend effect, to some extent, differed between locations and between seasons. There was some evidence that, particularly in autumn, the weekend bias may be lessening. If so, this will increase the accuracy of phenological records, making the detection of changes and responses to temperature easier.

摘要

在本文中,我们利用来自英国八个地点的超过14000条鸟类迁徙物候观测数据,研究了志愿者物候记录中对周末记录的偏向(周末效应)。使用了45种鸟类的数据。总体而言,所有记录中有44%是在周末进行的,相比之下,如果记录在一周内均匀分布,预期比例应为28.6%(即一周七天中的两天)。虽然有文献记载周末存在环境差异,尤其是在大城市地区,但我们认为周末效应主要是由于记录者在周末付出了更多努力。一些可能因其行为或数量明显的鸟类,其周末记录比其他物种少。周末效应在不同地点和不同季节之间在一定程度上有所不同。有证据表明,特别是在秋季,周末偏差可能正在减小。如果是这样,这将提高物候记录的准确性,使检测变化以及对温度的响应变得更容易。

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