Lui Kung-Jong, Chang Kuang-Chao
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182-7720, USA.
Biom J. 2008 Apr;50(2):224-36. doi: 10.1002/bimj.200710388.
In a randomized clinical trial (RCT), noncompliance with an assigned treatment can occur due to serious side effects, while missing outcomes on patients may happen due to patients' withdrawal or loss to follow up. To avoid the possible loss of power to detect a given risk difference (RD) of interest between two treatments, it is essentially important to incorporate the information on noncompliance and missing outcomes into sample size calculation. Under the compound exclusion restriction model proposed elsewhere, we first derive the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the RD among compliers between two treatments for a RCT with noncompliance and missing outcomes and its asymptotic variance in closed form. Based on the MLE with tanh(-1)(x) transformation, we develop an asymptotic test procedure for testing equality of two treatment effects among compliers. We further derive a sample size calculation formula accounting for both noncompliance and missing outcomes for a desired power 1 - beta at a nominal alpha-level. To evaluate the performance of the test procedure and the accuracy of the sample size calculation formula, we employ Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the estimated Type I error and power of the proposed test procedure corresponding to the resulting sample size in a variety of situations. We find that both the test procedure and the sample size formula developed here can perform well. Finally, we include a discussion on the effects of various parameters, including the proportion of compliers, the probability of non-missing outcomes, and the ratio of sample size allocation, on the minimum required sample size.
在一项随机临床试验(RCT)中,由于严重的副作用可能会出现不遵守指定治疗方案的情况,而患者退出或失访则可能导致无法获取患者的结局。为避免在检测两种治疗方法之间给定的感兴趣风险差异(RD)时可能出现的效能损失,将不遵守治疗方案和缺失结局的信息纳入样本量计算至关重要。在别处提出的复合排除限制模型下,我们首先针对存在不遵守治疗方案和缺失结局的RCT,推导出两种治疗方法之间依从者中RD的最大似然估计量(MLE)及其封闭形式的渐近方差。基于采用tanh(-1)(x)变换的MLE,我们开发了一种渐近检验程序,用于检验依从者中两种治疗效果的相等性。我们进一步推导了一个样本量计算公式,该公式在名义α水平下考虑了不遵守治疗方案和缺失结局的情况,以达到所需的效能1 - β。为了评估检验程序的性能和样本量计算公式的准确性,我们采用蒙特卡罗模拟来计算在各种情况下与所得样本量相对应的所提出检验程序的估计I型错误和效能。我们发现这里开发的检验程序和样本量公式都能表现良好。最后,我们讨论了各种参数,包括依从者比例、非缺失结局的概率以及样本量分配比例,对所需最小样本量的影响。