Kerschreiter Rudolf, Schulz-Hardt Stefan, Mojzisch Andreas, Frey Dieter
Department of Psychology, Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 2008 May;34(5):679-91. doi: 10.1177/0146167207313934. Epub 2008 Feb 29.
When searching for information, groups that are homogeneous regarding their members' prediscussion decision preferences show a strong bias for information that supports rather than conflicts with the prevailing opinion (confirmation bias). The present research examined whether homogeneous groups blindly search for information confirming their beliefs irrespective of the anticipated task or whether they are sensitive to the usefulness of new information for this forthcoming task. Results of three experiments show that task sensitivity depends on the groups' confidence in the correctness of their decision: Moderately confident groups displayed a strong confirmation bias when they anticipated having to give reasons for their decision but showed a balanced information search or even a dis confirmation bias (i.e., predominately seeking conflicting information) when they anticipated having to refute counterarguments. In contrast, highly confident groups demonstrated a strong confirmation bias independent of the anticipated task requirements.
在搜索信息时,其成员讨论前决策偏好同质化的群体对支持而非冲突于主流观点的信息表现出强烈的偏好(证实偏差)。本研究考察了同质化群体是不顾预期任务而盲目搜索证实其信念的信息,还是对新信息对即将到来的任务的有用性敏感。三项实验的结果表明,任务敏感性取决于群体对其决策正确性的信心:中等信心的群体在预期必须为其决策给出理由时表现出强烈的证实偏差,但当他们预期必须反驳反论点时则表现出平衡的信息搜索甚至是证伪偏差(即主要寻求冲突信息)。相比之下,高度自信的群体则表现出强烈的证实偏差,而与预期的任务要求无关。