Meguid Robert A, Ahuja Nita, Chang David C
Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21287, USA.
J Am Coll Surg. 2008 Apr;206(4):622.e1-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2007.11.011. Epub 2008 Jan 28.
Annual institution resection volume has been proposed for defining centers of excellence, with various cut-offs for defining "high-volume" centers used. This study aimed to define an objective, evidence-based operative volume threshold associated with improved postoperative outcomes after pancreatic resection.
This retrospective analysis of patients who underwent pancreatic resection in the Nationwide Inpatient Sample, a 20% representative sample of patients in the US between 1998 and 2003, was performed using multivariable logistic regression. Different models of annual hospital resection volume were analyzed and the goodness of fit of each "high-volume" model to postoperative mortality was compared through use of the pseudo r(2).
Based on analysis of 7,558 patients who underwent pancreatic resection, median annual institution resection volume was 15 (range 1 to 254), and overall in-hospital mortality was 7.6%. The best model of "high-volume" centers was an annual institution resection volume of 19 or more, as determined by goodness of fit (r(2) of 5.29%). But there was little difference in data variance explained between this best model and other "high-volume" models. The model without any volume variable had a goodness-of-fit r(2) of 3.57%, suggesting that volume explains less than 2% of data variance in perioperative death after pancreatic resection.
Very little difference was observed in the explanatory powers of models of "high-volume" centers. Although volume has an important impact on mortality, volume cut-off is necessary but insufficient for defining centers of excellence. Volume appears to function as an imperfect surrogate for other variables, which may better define centers of excellence.
有人提出用每年机构切除量来定义卓越中心,并采用了不同的临界值来定义“高切除量”中心。本研究旨在确定一个与胰腺切除术后改善的术后结果相关的客观、基于证据的手术量阈值。
本研究对1998年至2003年期间在美国全国住院患者样本(美国患者的20%代表性样本)中接受胰腺切除的患者进行了回顾性分析,采用多变量逻辑回归。分析了不同的年度医院切除量模型,并通过使用伪r²比较了每个“高切除量”模型与术后死亡率的拟合优度。
基于对7558例接受胰腺切除的患者的分析,机构每年切除量的中位数为15(范围为1至254),总体住院死亡率为7.6%。根据拟合优度确定,“高切除量”中心的最佳模型是每年机构切除量为19例或更多(r²为5.29%)。但该最佳模型与其他“高切除量”模型之间在数据方差解释方面差异不大。没有任何手术量变量的模型拟合优度r²为3.57%,这表明手术量在胰腺切除术后围手术期死亡的数据方差中解释的比例不到2%。
“高切除量中心”模型的解释力差异甚微。虽然手术量对死亡率有重要影响,但手术量临界值对于定义卓越中心是必要的但并不充分。手术量似乎是其他变量的不完美替代指标,而其他变量可能更适合定义卓越中心。