对边境管控作为传染病传播应对措施效果不佳的一个简单解释。
A simple explanation for the low impact of border control as a countermeasure to the spread of an infectious disease.
作者信息
Scalia Tomba Gianpaolo, Wallinga Jacco
机构信息
Department of Mathematics, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Via Ricerca Scientifica 1, 00133 Roma, Italy.
出版信息
Math Biosci. 2008 Jul-Aug;214(1-2):70-2. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2008.02.009. Epub 2008 Feb 29.
PMID:18387639
Abstract
A simple model for the effect of border control or travel restrictions is proposed. It can be used to predict the corresponding results in quite complex disease spread models and has the advantage of providing easy qualitative understanding of the effects of this kind of intervention.
摘要
提出了一个关于边境管控或旅行限制效果的简单模型。它可用于预测相当复杂的疾病传播模型中的相应结果，并且具有能够让人轻松定性理解这类干预措施效果的优势。
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