Nyári Tibor A, Kajtár Pál, Bartyik Katalin, Thurzó László, McNally Richard, Parker Louise
Department of Medical Informatics, University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary.
Pathol Oncol Res. 2008 Dec;14(4):423-8. doi: 10.1007/s12253-008-9017-0. Epub 2008 Apr 12.
The aim of this study was to investigate seasonal trends in the incidence of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) around the times of birth and diagnosis in children aged 0-4 years and also to examine gender specific effects. Children born in South Hungary during 1981-1997 were analysed. Registrations of first malignancies for children, diagnosed under age 5 years before the end of 2002 were obtained from the Hungarian Paediatric Oncology Group providing a representative sample of Hungarian children over a 17 year period of time. Data were available on the corresponding numbers of births for each month of the study period were obtained. Statistical analyses were performed using logistic regression with harmonic components. The study analysed 121 cases of children, aged under 5 years, who were diagnosed with ALL. We found no seasonal effect related to date of diagnosis. However, there was seasonal variability for ALL related to date of birth. Maximal rates were seen in children born in February and August in the simple harmonic regression model for all children diagnosed with ALL. Analysis by gender found evidence of seasonality related to month of birth with peaks in February and August in boys, but different seasonal effects were seen for girls (peak in November, nadir in May). Our study provides some evidence that male specific immune responses to infections around the time of birth could explain the male predominance in the incidence of ALL.
本研究的目的是调查0至4岁儿童出生和诊断时急性淋巴细胞白血病(ALL)发病率的季节性趋势,并研究性别特异性影响。对1981年至1997年在匈牙利南部出生的儿童进行了分析。从匈牙利儿科肿瘤学组获得了2002年底前5岁以下儿童首次恶性肿瘤的登记信息,这些信息提供了17年期间匈牙利儿童的代表性样本。还获得了研究期间每个月相应的出生人数数据。使用带有调和成分的逻辑回归进行统计分析。该研究分析了121例5岁以下被诊断为ALL的儿童。我们发现诊断日期与季节效应无关。然而,ALL的发病率与出生日期存在季节性差异。在所有被诊断为ALL的儿童的简单调和回归模型中,2月和8月出生的儿童发病率最高。按性别分析发现,与出生月份相关的季节性证据显示,男孩在2月和8月发病率最高,但女孩的季节性效应不同(11月发病率最高,5月发病率最低)。我们的研究提供了一些证据,表明出生时男性对感染的特异性免疫反应可能解释了ALL发病率中男性占主导地位的现象。