Joughin Ian, Das Sarah B, King Matt A, Smith Ben E, Howat Ian M, Moon Twila
Polar Science Center, Applied Physics Lab, University of Washington, 1013 NE 40th Street, Seattle, WA 98105-6698, USA.
Science. 2008 May 9;320(5877):781-3. doi: 10.1126/science.1153288. Epub 2008 Apr 17.
It has been widely hypothesized that a warmer climate in Greenland would increase the volume of lubricating surface meltwater reaching the ice-bedrock interface, accelerating ice flow and increasing mass loss. We have assembled a data set that provides a synoptic-scale view, spanning ice-sheet to outlet-glacier flow, with which to evaluate this hypothesis. On the ice sheet, these data reveal summer speedups (50 to 100%) consistent with, but somewhat larger than, earlier observations. The relative speedup of outlet glaciers, however, is far smaller (<15%). Furthermore, the dominant seasonal influence on Jakobshavn Isbrae's flow is the calving front's annual advance and retreat. With other effects producing outlet-glacier speedups an order of magnitude larger, seasonal melt's influence on ice flow is likely confined to those regions dominated by ice-sheet flow.
人们普遍推测,格陵兰岛气候变暖会增加到达冰基岩界面的润滑性表层融水的体积,加速冰流并增加质量损失。我们收集了一组数据集,该数据集提供了一个从冰盖到出流冰川流动的大尺度视图,用以评估这一假设。在冰盖上,这些数据显示夏季速度加快(50%至100%),这与早期观测结果一致,但略大于早期观测结果。然而,出流冰川的相对加速要小得多(<15%)。此外,对雅各布港冰川流动的主要季节性影响是其崩裂前沿的年度进退。由于其他影响使出流冰川速度加快的幅度要大一个数量级,季节性融水对冰流的影响可能仅限于那些以冰盖流动为主的区域。