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人为导致的北极地区变湿

Human-induced Arctic moistening.

作者信息

Min Seung-Ki, Zhang Xuebin, Zwiers Francis

机构信息

Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, Toronto, Ontario M3H 5T4, Canada.

出版信息

Science. 2008 Apr 25;320(5875):518-20. doi: 10.1126/science.1153468.

Abstract

The Arctic and northern subpolar regions are critical for climate change. Ice-albedo feedback amplifies warming in the Arctic, and fluctuations of regional fresh water inflow to the Arctic Ocean modulate the deep ocean circulation and thus exert a strong global influence. By comparing observations to simulations from 22 coupled climate models, we find influence from anthropogenic greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols in the space-time pattern of precipitation change over high-latitude land areas north of 55 degrees N during the second half of the 20th century. The human-induced Arctic moistening is consistent with observed increases in Arctic river discharge and freshening of Arctic water masses. This result provides new evidence that human activity has contributed to Arctic hydrological change.

摘要

北极和北极次极地地区对气候变化至关重要。冰反照率反馈加剧了北极地区的变暖,而北冰洋区域淡水流入量的波动则调节了深海环流,从而对全球产生强烈影响。通过将观测结果与22个耦合气候模型的模拟结果进行比较,我们发现了人为温室气体和硫酸盐气溶胶对20世纪下半叶北纬55度以北高纬度陆地区域降水变化时空格局的影响。人为导致的北极地区变湿与观测到的北极河流流量增加和北极水体变淡相一致。这一结果为人类活动导致北极水文变化提供了新证据。

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