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率差法在估算初级保健就诊中的流感负担方面被证明是令人满意的。

Rate-difference method proved satisfactory in estimating the influenza burden in primary care visits.

作者信息

Jansen Angelique G S C, Sanders Elisabeth A M, Wallinga Jacco, Groen Eelke J, van Loon Anton M, Hoes Arno W, Hak Eelko

机构信息

Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, P.O. Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, the Netherlands.

出版信息

J Clin Epidemiol. 2008 Aug;61(8):803-12. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2007.08.017. Epub 2008 May 20.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To compare different methods to estimate the disease burden of influenza, using influenza and respiratory syncytial virus-(RSV) associated primary care data as an example.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

In a retrospective study in the Netherlands over 1997-2003, primary care attended respiratory episodes and national viral surveillance data were used to compare the rate-difference method to other, more complex methods.

RESULTS

The influenza-associated excess estimated by the different methods varied. The estimates provided by the rate-difference model lay well within this range. According to the rate-difference method, influenza-associated primary care consultations were present for all ages, including low-risk adults. The highest influenza-associated burden was demonstrated for children below the age of 5 years. The RSV-associated primary care burden was highest in the youngest age category and well above that associated with influenza. Significant RSV-associated excess was also recorded among adults, particularly in high-risk adults and the elderly.

CONCLUSION

The straightforward rate-difference model seemed satisfactory to estimate the influenza-associated burden. Significant influenza-associated excess was demonstrated among persons not yet recommended for influenza vaccination in The Netherlands. The RSV-associated burden was highest for the youngest children, but also significant for adults.

摘要

目的

以流感和呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)相关的初级保健数据为例,比较估算流感疾病负担的不同方法。

研究设计与背景

在荷兰1997 - 2003年的一项回顾性研究中,利用初级保健机构诊治的呼吸道疾病发作情况及国家病毒监测数据,将率差法与其他更复杂的方法进行比较。

结果

不同方法估算的流感相关超额数有所不同。率差模型提供的估算值处于该范围内。根据率差法,各年龄段均存在流感相关的初级保健会诊,包括低风险成年人。5岁以下儿童的流感相关负担最高。RSV相关的初级保健负担在最年幼年龄组中最高,且远高于流感相关负担。在成年人中也记录到了显著的RSV相关超额数,尤其是高危成年人和老年人。

结论

简单的率差模型似乎能令人满意地估算流感相关负担。在荷兰尚未被建议接种流感疫苗的人群中,显示出显著的流感相关超额数。RSV相关负担在最年幼儿童中最高,但在成年人中也很显著。

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