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有限长度时间序列相关性的一般统计检验。

A general statistical test for correlations in a finite-length time series.

作者信息

Hanson Jeffery A, Yang Haw

机构信息

Department of Chemistry, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720, USA.

出版信息

J Chem Phys. 2008 Jun 7;128(21):214101. doi: 10.1063/1.2931943.

Abstract

The statistical properties of the autocorrelation function from a time series composed of independently and identically distributed stochastic variables has been studied. Analytical expressions for the autocorrelation function's variance have been derived. It has been found that two common ways of calculating the autocorrelation, moving-average and Fourier transform, exhibit different uncertainty characteristics. For periodic time series, the Fourier transform method is preferred because it gives smaller uncertainties that are uniform through all time lags. Based on these analytical results, a statistically robust method has been proposed to test the existence of correlations in a time series. The statistical test is verified by computer simulations and an application to single-molecule fluorescence spectroscopy is discussed.

摘要

对由独立同分布随机变量组成的时间序列的自相关函数的统计特性进行了研究。推导出自相关函数方差的解析表达式。发现计算自相关的两种常见方法,即移动平均法和傅里叶变换法,表现出不同的不确定性特征。对于周期性时间序列,傅里叶变换方法更可取,因为它给出的不确定性较小,且在所有时间滞后上都是均匀的。基于这些分析结果,提出了一种统计稳健的方法来检验时间序列中相关性的存在。通过计算机模拟验证了该统计检验,并讨论了其在单分子荧光光谱中的应用。

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