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2006年澳大利亚兽医的数量、分布及集中度,与1981年、1991年和2001年的比较。

Number, distribution and concentration of Australian veterinarians in 2006, compared with 1981, 1991 and 2001.

作者信息

Heath T J

出版信息

Aust Vet J. 2008 Jul;86(7):283-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1751-0813.2008.00314.x.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To determine the number, concentration and distribution of veterinarians working in Australia in 2006, and compare with data from 1981, 1991 and 2001. Procedure Data on each veterinarian who was registered, resident and apparently working in each Australian state and territory were obtained from relevant veterinary board lists, entered into an Excel spreadsheet and analysed with SAS System for Windows 8. Other data were obtained from the Official Australian Postcode Map, and the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

RESULTS

A total of 7510 veterinarians, of whom 46% were female, were working in Australia in 2006. The rate of increase (230/year) between 2001 and 2006 was greater than for the previous 20 years. The number per million people (360) was 73% higher than in 1981, and more than 30% higher than in the USA and UK. With the establishment of three new veterinary schools the number of graduates, and the total number of veterinarians, will increase further. By 2011 the number of veterinarians is likely to be three-fold greater, and the number per million people two-fold greater than in 1981. The number of veterinarians per million dogs and cats will increase at a greater rate if dog and cat numbers continue to fall. As more than 75% of Australian veterinary work involves dogs and cats this has serious implications for the profession.

CONCLUSIONS

Progressively increasing numbers of veterinarians will compete for a constant or diminishing resource--the dogs and cats of Australia. It seems likely that overt signs of oversupply will appear before sufficient numbers of veterinarians enter alternative forms of employment.

摘要

目的

确定2006年在澳大利亚工作的兽医数量、分布及密度,并与1981年、1991年和2001年的数据进行比较。方法从相关兽医委员会名单中获取在澳大利亚各州和领地注册、居住且明显在工作的每位兽医的数据,录入Excel电子表格并用SAS Windows 8系统进行分析。其他数据来自澳大利亚官方邮政编码地图和澳大利亚统计局。

结果

2006年澳大利亚共有7510名兽医,其中46%为女性。2001年至2006年的增长速度(每年230名)高于此前20年。每百万人口中的兽医数量(360名)比1981年高出73%,比美国和英国高出30%以上。随着三所新兽医学校的建立,毕业生数量和兽医总数将进一步增加。到2011年,兽医数量可能比1981年增加两倍,每百万人口中的数量增加一倍。如果犬猫数量继续下降,每百万犬猫中的兽医数量增长速度将更快。由于超过75%的澳大利亚兽医工作涉及犬猫,这对该行业具有严重影响。

结论

越来越多的兽医将争夺持续减少的资源——澳大利亚的犬猫。在足够数量的兽医进入其他就业形式之前,似乎很可能会出现供应过剩的明显迹象。

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